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DOI10.1007/s10530-019-02050-5
Climate change and the potential expansion of buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L., Poaceae) in biotic communities of Southwest United States and northern Mexico
de Albuquerque, Fabio Suzart1; Angel Macias-Rodriguez, Miguel2; Burquez, Alberto3; Astudillo-Scalia, Yaiyr4
通讯作者de Albuquerque, Fabio Suzart
来源期刊BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS
ISSN1387-3547
EISSN1573-1464
出版年2019
卷号21期号:11页码:3335-3347
英文摘要In the last decades, more than six hundred exotic species have become established throughout the region of the southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico, including the African buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L.). Buffelgrass often causes negative impacts on natural ecosystems and it is considered a highly invasive species in many parts of the world. We used 18,550 records from 260 datasets and species distribution modeling (SDM) to provide support for the climatically based and topographic hypotheses, which claim that current climate and topography affect species distribution patterns of plants. We also investigated (1) the geographical distribution of habitat suitability across biotic communities of the Southwest United States and northern Mexico, (2) the association between habitat suitability, climate variables and topography, and (3) the potential effects of climate change on the future distribution of buffelgrass. We found that the geographic pattern of suitability in the southwest generally increases west- and southward, with some high suitability areas also occurring in southern areas of Arizona, USA, and across the state of Sonora, Mexico. We observed that mean temperature and annual precipitation explain spatial variation in suitability better than other climatic and non-climatic variables. Climate change models indicated significant opportunities for contraction across the buffelgrass' range and fewer for range expansion. In all scenarios, SDMs predicted a high contraction of suitable habitat. Most of these contractions would occur in portions of the Sonoran Desert and the foothills of the Sierra Madre Occidental. We show, for the first time, the potential changes in buffelgrass habitat suitability across major biomes of the Southwest region, under future climate change scenarios.
英文关键词Alien species Biogeography Biological invasions Range size Species distributions
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; Mexico
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000487812700008
WOS关键词SPECIES-DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; SONORAN DESERT ; HABITAT DISTRIBUTION ; PENNISETUM-CILIARE ; RICHNESS ; PREDICTION ; PATTERNS ; ENERGY ; PLANTS ; DISTRIBUTIONS
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
EI主题词2019-11-01
来源机构Arizona State University ; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/310502
作者单位1.Arizona State Univ, Coll Integrat Letters & Sci, Sci & Math Fac, Mesa, AZ 85212 USA;
2.Univ Guadalajara, Ctr Univ Ciencias Biol & Agr, Dept Ciencias Ambientales, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico;
3.Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Ecol, Hermosillo 83250, Sonora, Mexico;
4.Arizona State Univ, Sch Life Sci SOLS, Tempe, AZ 85281 USA
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de Albuquerque, Fabio Suzart,Angel Macias-Rodriguez, Miguel,Burquez, Alberto,et al. Climate change and the potential expansion of buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L., Poaceae) in biotic communities of Southwest United States and northern Mexico[J]. Arizona State University, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México,2019,21(11):3335-3347.
APA de Albuquerque, Fabio Suzart,Angel Macias-Rodriguez, Miguel,Burquez, Alberto,&Astudillo-Scalia, Yaiyr.(2019).Climate change and the potential expansion of buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L., Poaceae) in biotic communities of Southwest United States and northern Mexico.BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS,21(11),3335-3347.
MLA de Albuquerque, Fabio Suzart,et al."Climate change and the potential expansion of buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L., Poaceae) in biotic communities of Southwest United States and northern Mexico".BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS 21.11(2019):3335-3347.
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