Arid
DOI10.1007/s00477-015-1203-5
Trends in reference evapotranspiration and its attribution over the past 50 years in the Loess Plateau, China: implications for ecological projects and agricultural production
Shi, Zhongjie1; Xu, Lihong2; Yang, Xiaohui1; Guo, Hao1; Dong, Linshui3; Song, Aiyun3; Zhang, Xiao1; Shan, Nan1
通讯作者Xu, Lihong ; Guo, Hao
会议名称Joint 7th International Workshop on Spatio-Temporal Modelling (METMA) / Meeting of the Research-Group-for-Statistical-Applications-Environmental-Problems (GRASPA)
会议日期SEP 10-12, 2014
会议地点Turin, ITALY
英文摘要

In the water-limited Loess Plateau, reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is an important hydrological factor affecting the implementation of ecological projects, agricultural production, and water resource management, and its long-term variation is of great interest in climate change studies. Based on daily data from 57 meteorological stations, temporal and spatial patterns in ETo and related driving factors were evaluated for the period 1958-2011. In addition, the influences of agricultural cultivation and urbanization on ETo trends were also analyzed. The results indicated both decreasing and increasing trends in annual and seasonal ETo series in this area. The area-average ETo series experienced a weak decreasing annual trend. However, more ETo series were found with increasing trends. More decreasing trends were found in summer, winter, and the growing season, but more increasing trends were seen in spring and autumn. Analysis of the contributions of meteorological variables on trends in ETo showed that wind speed was the most dominant factor affecting ETo variation at most stations. In addition, cultivation and urbanization also affected ETo trends. The impact on ETo trend was more obvious for the urbanization than cultivation. A warmer and drier trend would affect the implementation of ecological projects, the occurrence of dried soil layers, desertification, and agricultural production of the area.


英文关键词Reference evapotranspiration Trend Attribution Mann-Kendall Land use Loess plateau
来源出版物STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT
ISSN1436-3240
EISSN1436-3259
出版年2017
卷号31
期号1
页码257-273
出版者SPRINGER
类型Article;Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E ; CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000394278600017
WOS关键词POTENTIAL EVAPORATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; SHIFT
WOS类目Engineering, Environmental ; Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Statistics & Probability ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Mathematics ; Water Resources
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/306978
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Forestry, Inst Desertificat Studies, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Forestry, Inst Forest Ecol Environm & Protect, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;
3.Binzhou Univ, Key Lab Ecoenvironm Sci Yellow River Delta Shando, Binzhou 256603, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shi, Zhongjie,Xu, Lihong,Yang, Xiaohui,et al. Trends in reference evapotranspiration and its attribution over the past 50 years in the Loess Plateau, China: implications for ecological projects and agricultural production[C]:SPRINGER,2017:257-273.
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