Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/978-3-319-51856-5_3 |
Scenarios Based Climate Projection for Oman Water Resources | |
Al-Yahyai, Sultan1; Charabi, Yassine2; Al-Sarmi, Said3; Al-Maskari, Juma3 | |
通讯作者 | Al-Yahyai, Sultan |
会议名称 | International Water Conference on Water Resources in Arid Areas (IWC) - The Way Forward |
会议日期 | MAR, 2016 |
会议地点 | Muscat, OMAN |
英文摘要 | Oman is characterized by its arid climate. This is natural, in view of its location along the Tropic of Cancer, in a zone dominated by the subsident limbs of the Northern Hemisphere Hadley Cell circulation. However, the coastal position of Oman at the south-eastern end of the Arabian Peninsula, plus its high mountain range (Hajar Mountains) in the north both help to induce quite significant annual mean rainfall in a few favored areas. There are several factors that determine the overall impact of the climate change. Precipitation will be one of the most critical factors. Compared to air temperature, precipitation is difficult parameter to predict. For every degree centigrade, global scale researches showed that water vapor will increases by 7%. Based on these researches, it is less clear how this will that will impact the total change on precipitation. On the other hand, an increase of about 1-2% on the total volume of precipitation is likely to happen for each degree of warming. The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of climate change on the water resources and rainfall in Oman. It presents climate projection based on different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. The climate projection was based on Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2 (HadGEM2) downscaled to 1 km resolution. It was projected that slight dryness will take place over Hajar Mountains based on RCP 2.6 during 2041-2060. The effect of the dryness is projected to cover wider areas based on the other RCPs scenarios except Dhofar region. RCP 8.5 projected wetter climate over Dhofar region during the period of 2061-2080. |
英文关键词 | Oman Climate projection Rainfall RCPs HadGEM2 |
来源出版物 | WATER RESOURCES IN ARID AREAS: THE WAY FORWARD |
ISSN | 2364-6934 |
EISSN | 2364-8198 |
出版年 | 2017 |
页码 | 43-58 |
ISBN | 978-3-319-51855-8 |
EISBN | 978-3-319-51856-5 |
出版者 | SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG |
类型 | Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Oman |
收录类别 | CPCI-S ; CPCI-SSH |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000436089500003 |
WOS关键词 | SULTANATE-OF-OMAN ; VULNERABILITY |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/306969 |
作者单位 | 1.Mazoon Elect Co, Informat Technol Dept, 1229 Muscat, Muscat 131, Oman; 2.Sultan Qaboos Univ, Dept Geog, Muscat, Oman; 3.Publ Author Civil Aviat, Directorate Gen Meteorol, Muscat, Oman |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Al-Yahyai, Sultan,Charabi, Yassine,Al-Sarmi, Said,et al. Scenarios Based Climate Projection for Oman Water Resources[C]:SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG,2017:43-58. |
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