Arid
DOI10.1007/978-3-319-51856-5_3
Scenarios Based Climate Projection for Oman Water Resources
Al-Yahyai, Sultan1; Charabi, Yassine2; Al-Sarmi, Said3; Al-Maskari, Juma3
通讯作者Al-Yahyai, Sultan
会议名称International Water Conference on Water Resources in Arid Areas (IWC) - The Way Forward
会议日期MAR, 2016
会议地点Muscat, OMAN
英文摘要

Oman is characterized by its arid climate. This is natural, in view of its location along the Tropic of Cancer, in a zone dominated by the subsident limbs of the Northern Hemisphere Hadley Cell circulation. However, the coastal position of Oman at the south-eastern end of the Arabian Peninsula, plus its high mountain range (Hajar Mountains) in the north both help to induce quite significant annual mean rainfall in a few favored areas. There are several factors that determine the overall impact of the climate change. Precipitation will be one of the most critical factors. Compared to air temperature, precipitation is difficult parameter to predict. For every degree centigrade, global scale researches showed that water vapor will increases by 7%. Based on these researches, it is less clear how this will that will impact the total change on precipitation. On the other hand, an increase of about 1-2% on the total volume of precipitation is likely to happen for each degree of warming. The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of climate change on the water resources and rainfall in Oman. It presents climate projection based on different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. The climate projection was based on Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2 (HadGEM2) downscaled to 1 km resolution. It was projected that slight dryness will take place over Hajar Mountains based on RCP 2.6 during 2041-2060. The effect of the dryness is projected to cover wider areas based on the other RCPs scenarios except Dhofar region. RCP 8.5 projected wetter climate over Dhofar region during the period of 2061-2080.


英文关键词Oman Climate projection Rainfall RCPs HadGEM2
来源出版物WATER RESOURCES IN ARID AREAS: THE WAY FORWARD
ISSN2364-6934
EISSN2364-8198
出版年2017
页码43-58
ISBN978-3-319-51855-8
EISBN978-3-319-51856-5
出版者SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Oman
收录类别CPCI-S ; CPCI-SSH
WOS记录号WOS:000436089500003
WOS关键词SULTANATE-OF-OMAN ; VULNERABILITY
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/306969
作者单位1.Mazoon Elect Co, Informat Technol Dept, 1229 Muscat, Muscat 131, Oman;
2.Sultan Qaboos Univ, Dept Geog, Muscat, Oman;
3.Publ Author Civil Aviat, Directorate Gen Meteorol, Muscat, Oman
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Al-Yahyai, Sultan,Charabi, Yassine,Al-Sarmi, Said,et al. Scenarios Based Climate Projection for Oman Water Resources[C]:SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG,2017:43-58.
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