Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.procs.2017.11.239 |
Prediction of the future impact of climate change on reference evapotranspiration in Cyprus using artificial neural network | |
Abdullahi, Jazuli; Elkiran, Gozen | |
通讯作者 | Abdullahi, Jazuli |
会议名称 | 9th International Conference on Theory and Application of Soft Computing, Computing with Words and Perception (ICSCCW) |
会议日期 | AUG 22-25, 2017 |
会议地点 | Budapest, HUNGARY |
英文摘要 | Evapotranspiration is considered as one of the fundamental and primary components of paramount significance to hydrological water cycle. But due to global warming, numerous regions especially arid and semi-arid regions are faced with insufficiency of water. Therefore, this research was aimed at forecasting the effect, climate change may have on reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for Girne and Larnaca regions of Cyprus for the next 3 decades (2017 - 2050). CROPWAT 8.0 software computed the past using Penman-Monteith method while Artificial Neural Network (ANN) predict for the future. A three-layer network trained by FFBP (Feed Forward Back Propagation) and LM (Levenberg-Marquardt) optimization algorithm was used. Two approaches were adopted for the study; in the first approach, the input parameters remained static while changing the number of hidden neurons; in the second approach, the inputs varied from 2 to 6 parameters and the hidden neurons doubled the inputs. Determination Coefficient (R-2) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were used as the criterion for performance evaluation of the network. The results disclosed that ANN can efficiently predict future ETo in the regions even with limited climate parameters, but the performance significantly increased by adding more inputs, as R-2 difference from 0.8959 -0.9997 and 0.8633-0.9996 in the regions were observed. (c) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. |
英文关键词 | Feed forward backpropagation determination coefficient Penman-Monteith method artificial neural network evapotranspiration |
来源出版物 | 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THEORY AND APPLICATION OF SOFT COMPUTING, COMPUTING WITH WORDS AND PERCEPTION, ICSCCW 2017 |
ISSN | 1877-0509 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 120 |
页码 | 276-283 |
EISBN | ***************** |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
类型 | Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Turkey |
收录类别 | CPCI-S |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426703300040 |
WOS类目 | Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/306586 |
作者单位 | Near East Univ, Fac Engn, Near East Blvd,POB 99138,Mersin 10, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Abdullahi, Jazuli,Elkiran, Gozen. Prediction of the future impact of climate change on reference evapotranspiration in Cyprus using artificial neural network[C]:ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV,2017:276-283. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。