Arid
DOI10.17660/ActaHortic.2017.1152.1
A stochastic rainfall generator model for simulation of daily rainfall events in Kurau catchment: model testing
Fadhil, R. M.1,2; Rowshon, M. K.3; Ahmad, D.2; Fikri, A.3; Aimrun, W.3
通讯作者Fadhil, R. M.
会议名称3rd International Conference on Agricultural and Food Engineering
会议日期AUG 23, 2016
会议地点Kuala Lumpur, MALAYSIA
英文摘要

Reservoirs play a substantial role in meeting water demands in arid and semi-arid regions especially with increasing changes in global rainfall patterns. Kurau catchment located at Northwest Perak, Malaysia, is the largest source of water to Bukit Merah Reservoir. Based on climate change effects on rainfall pattern, it is important to develop a model to simulate rainfall occurrence and amount that flow into the reservoir. To address this problem, a stochastic rainfall generator model based on first-order two-state Markov chain approach was developed to simulate long-term daily rainfall series. Rainfall time series for a 30-year period (1976-2006) was assessed. The observed time series data were used as input to the stochastic model to generate a new set of daily time series data. The statistical properties of the new set of data including monthly mean, standard deviation, dry and wet spell lengths were compared with the observed data to gauge the model accuracy. The results obtained were satisfactory, giving motivation in applying the model for generating future rainfall series under different climate change scenarios.


英文关键词stochastic rainfall generator climate change markov chain rainfall reservoir dry and wet spell lengths
来源出版物III INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURAL AND FOOD ENGINEERING
ISSN0567-7572
EISSN2406-6168
出版年2017
卷号1152
页码1-10
EISBN978-94-62611-49-8
出版者INT SOC HORTICULTURAL SCIENCE
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Malaysia;Iraq
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000431840100001
WOS关键词STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX ; PENINSULAR MALAYSIA ; WEATHER MODELS ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Food Science & Technology ; Horticulture
WOS研究方向Food Science & Technology ; Agriculture
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/306327
作者单位1.Univ Putra Malaysia, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, Serdang 43400, Selangor Darul, Malaysia;
2.Univ Mosul, Coll Engn, Dams & Water Resources Engn Dept, Mosul, Iraq;
3.Univ Putra Malaysia, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, Serdang 43400, Selangor Darul, Malaysia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Fadhil, R. M.,Rowshon, M. K.,Ahmad, D.,et al. A stochastic rainfall generator model for simulation of daily rainfall events in Kurau catchment: model testing[C]:INT SOC HORTICULTURAL SCIENCE,2017:1-10.
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