Arid
DOI10.1117/12.2066296
Forecasting precipitation and temperatures at the island of Cyprus to enhance wetland management
Spanou, Georgios1; Ioannou, Konstantinos K.1; Iakovoglou, Valasia2; Zaimes, George N.1
通讯作者Spanou, Georgios
会议名称2nd International Conference on Remote Sensing and Geoinformation of the Environment (RSCy)
会议日期APR 07-10, 2014
会议地点Paphos, CYPRUS
英文摘要

Droughts on the island of Cyprus are more frequently occurring during the last decades. This has and will have major impacts on natural resources, particularly on semi-aquatic and aquatic ecosystems. Wetlands are very important aquatic ecosystems with many functions and values, especially in semi-arid regions. The study area is the Wetland of the Larnanca Salt Lake that belongs to the Natura 2000 Network and the Ramsar Convention. It hosts thousands of migratory birds every year. Forecasting accurately the future climatic conditions of an area can greatly enhance the ability to provide the best possible managerial practices regarding a natural resource (e. g. wetland). These climate forecasts can provide significant information on future conditions of the Wetland of Larnaca Salt Lake, particularly when forecasting when and how long the drying conditions could last. In this study, an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) was used as a tool for short term prediction of the precipitation in the study area. The methodology used two time series (temperature and precipitation) in order to train the ANN. Temperatures were used as the input variable to the ANN while precipitation was used as the output variables. The forecast was based on data from the period between 1993 and 2013. In order to estimate the accuracy of the produced results the correlation coefficient, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) was correlated. Overall, this tool can help the responsible authorities of the wetland to manage it more efficiently.


英文关键词Wetland Management ANN Semi-arid Regions climatic conditions Cyprus
来源出版物SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON REMOTE SENSING AND GEOINFORMATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT (RSCY2014)
ISSN0277-786X
EISSN1996-756X
出版年2014
卷号9229
EISBN978-1-62841-276-5
出版者SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Greece
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000343123100053
WOS关键词RESOURCES
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Optics
WOS研究方向Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Optics
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/302756
作者单位1.NEM Macedonia & Thrace Inst Technol, Dept Forestry, 1st Km Drama Mikrohoriou, Drama, Greece;
2.DEMETER FRI, Thessaloniki, Greece
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Spanou, Georgios,Ioannou, Konstantinos K.,Iakovoglou, Valasia,et al. Forecasting precipitation and temperatures at the island of Cyprus to enhance wetland management[C]:SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING,2014.
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