Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1117/12.2066296 |
Forecasting precipitation and temperatures at the island of Cyprus to enhance wetland management | |
Spanou, Georgios1; Ioannou, Konstantinos K.1; Iakovoglou, Valasia2; Zaimes, George N.1 | |
通讯作者 | Spanou, Georgios |
会议名称 | 2nd International Conference on Remote Sensing and Geoinformation of the Environment (RSCy) |
会议日期 | APR 07-10, 2014 |
会议地点 | Paphos, CYPRUS |
英文摘要 | Droughts on the island of Cyprus are more frequently occurring during the last decades. This has and will have major impacts on natural resources, particularly on semi-aquatic and aquatic ecosystems. Wetlands are very important aquatic ecosystems with many functions and values, especially in semi-arid regions. The study area is the Wetland of the Larnanca Salt Lake that belongs to the Natura 2000 Network and the Ramsar Convention. It hosts thousands of migratory birds every year. Forecasting accurately the future climatic conditions of an area can greatly enhance the ability to provide the best possible managerial practices regarding a natural resource (e. g. wetland). These climate forecasts can provide significant information on future conditions of the Wetland of Larnaca Salt Lake, particularly when forecasting when and how long the drying conditions could last. In this study, an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) was used as a tool for short term prediction of the precipitation in the study area. The methodology used two time series (temperature and precipitation) in order to train the ANN. Temperatures were used as the input variable to the ANN while precipitation was used as the output variables. The forecast was based on data from the period between 1993 and 2013. In order to estimate the accuracy of the produced results the correlation coefficient, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) was correlated. Overall, this tool can help the responsible authorities of the wetland to manage it more efficiently. |
英文关键词 | Wetland Management ANN Semi-arid Regions climatic conditions Cyprus |
来源出版物 | SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON REMOTE SENSING AND GEOINFORMATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT (RSCY2014) |
ISSN | 0277-786X |
EISSN | 1996-756X |
出版年 | 2014 |
卷号 | 9229 |
EISBN | 978-1-62841-276-5 |
出版者 | SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING |
类型 | Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Greece |
收录类别 | CPCI-S |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000343123100053 |
WOS关键词 | RESOURCES |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Optics |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Optics |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/302527 |
作者单位 | 1.NEM Macedonia & Thrace Inst Technol, Dept Forestry, 1st Km Drama Mikrohoriou, Drama, Greece; 2.DEMETER FRI, Thessaloniki, Greece |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Spanou, Georgios,Ioannou, Konstantinos K.,Iakovoglou, Valasia,et al. Forecasting precipitation and temperatures at the island of Cyprus to enhance wetland management[C]:SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING,2014. |
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