Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
Assessing the impacts of global changes on the water resources of the Mediterranean basin | |
Milano, M.1,4; Ruelland, D.2; Fernandez, S.4; Dezetter, A.3; Ardoin-Bardin, S.3; Fabre, J.1,4; Thivet, G.4; Servat, E.3 | |
通讯作者 | Milano, M. |
会议名称 | 25th General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics |
会议日期 | JUN 28-JUL 07, 2011 |
会议地点 | Melbourne, AUSTRALIA |
英文摘要 | The Mediterranean basin is characterized by limited and unequally distributed water resources, as well as by important development of its anthropogenic activities. The latter has led to continuously increasing water withdrawals. Moreover, the region should be particularly affected by climate change, with rising temperatures and more frequent and intense drought periods affecting water resources availability. This paper assesses the impacts of those changes by investigating the current and future situation of both water availability and water withdrawals. Over the reference period (1971-1990), a conceptual rainfall runoff gridded model was applied to evaluate freshwater availability, and an overview of agricultural and domestic water use was completed according to national reports. To evaluate the future trends in water availability at short (2025) and mid (2050) terms, climatic scenarios were generated by applying unbias and delta methods to projections from four global climate models. These climatic scenarios were used as inputs to the hydrological model but also to an irrigation management model to evaluate future agricultural water withdrawals. Domestic water use was estimated using demographic scenarios. For both sectors, progress in water-use efficiency was also considered. A water stress index accounting for those various indicators was then computed. The results show that both climate and socio-economic changes will have a significant impact on water resources. The Mediterranean basin might be subjected to a more arid climate and increasing local disparities. Some areas might experience increasing water stress. This study is a first step towards providing indicators combining water resources availability and water use in line with planning decisions at a regional level. |
英文关键词 | Mediterranean basin water availability water withdrawals water stress index water balance model CROPWAT scenarios |
来源出版物 | RISK IN WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT |
ISSN | 0144-7815 |
出版年 | 2011 |
卷号 | 347 |
页码 | 165-+ |
ISBN | 978-1-907161-22-3 |
出版者 | INT ASSOC HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES |
类型 | Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France |
收录类别 | CPCI-S |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000297275200026 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE MODEL ; RUNOFF |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/299543 |
作者单位 | 1.UM2 UMR HydroSci Montpellier, Pl E Bataillon, F-34395 Montpellier 5, France; 2.CNRS UMR HydroSci Montpellier, F-34395 Montpellier, France; 3.IRD UMR HydroSci Montpellier, F-34395 Montpellier, France; 4.Plan Bleu, F-06560 Valbonne, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Milano, M.,Ruelland, D.,Fernandez, S.,et al. Assessing the impacts of global changes on the water resources of the Mediterranean basin[C]:INT ASSOC HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES,2011:165-+. |
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