Arid
Assessing the impacts of global changes on the water resources of the Mediterranean basin
Milano, M.1,4; Ruelland, D.2; Fernandez, S.4; Dezetter, A.3; Ardoin-Bardin, S.3; Fabre, J.1,4; Thivet, G.4; Servat, E.3
通讯作者Milano, M.
会议名称25th General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
会议日期JUN 28-JUL 07, 2011
会议地点Melbourne, AUSTRALIA
英文摘要

The Mediterranean basin is characterized by limited and unequally distributed water resources, as well as by important development of its anthropogenic activities. The latter has led to continuously increasing water withdrawals. Moreover, the region should be particularly affected by climate change, with rising temperatures and more frequent and intense drought periods affecting water resources availability. This paper assesses the impacts of those changes by investigating the current and future situation of both water availability and water withdrawals. Over the reference period (1971-1990), a conceptual rainfall runoff gridded model was applied to evaluate freshwater availability, and an overview of agricultural and domestic water use was completed according to national reports. To evaluate the future trends in water availability at short (2025) and mid (2050) terms, climatic scenarios were generated by applying unbias and delta methods to projections from four global climate models. These climatic scenarios were used as inputs to the hydrological model but also to an irrigation management model to evaluate future agricultural water withdrawals. Domestic water use was estimated using demographic scenarios. For both sectors, progress in water-use efficiency was also considered. A water stress index accounting for those various indicators was then computed. The results show that both climate and socio-economic changes will have a significant impact on water resources. The Mediterranean basin might be subjected to a more arid climate and increasing local disparities. Some areas might experience increasing water stress. This study is a first step towards providing indicators combining water resources availability and water use in line with planning decisions at a regional level.


英文关键词Mediterranean basin water availability water withdrawals water stress index water balance model CROPWAT scenarios
来源出版物RISK IN WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0144-7815
出版年2011
卷号347
页码165-+
ISBN978-1-907161-22-3
出版者INT ASSOC HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家France
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000297275200026
WOS关键词CLIMATE MODEL ; RUNOFF
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/299543
作者单位1.UM2 UMR HydroSci Montpellier, Pl E Bataillon, F-34395 Montpellier 5, France;
2.CNRS UMR HydroSci Montpellier, F-34395 Montpellier, France;
3.IRD UMR HydroSci Montpellier, F-34395 Montpellier, France;
4.Plan Bleu, F-06560 Valbonne, France
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Milano, M.,Ruelland, D.,Fernandez, S.,et al. Assessing the impacts of global changes on the water resources of the Mediterranean basin[C]:INT ASSOC HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES,2011:165-+.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Milano, M.]的文章
[Ruelland, D.]的文章
[Fernandez, S.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Milano, M.]的文章
[Ruelland, D.]的文章
[Fernandez, S.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Milano, M.]的文章
[Ruelland, D.]的文章
[Fernandez, S.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。