干旱区生态环境知识资源中心

The article systematically reviews the history of water resource carrying capacity and shows that water resource carrying capacity through three exhibition stages: initial, prosperity and development. The initial stage of the study is concentrated on environmental vulnerability arid area of northwest, and put forward the concept of water resource carrying capacity. it focus on the research of the theory, quantitative research is only initial. In this phase, the writer mainly uses two methods, which are trend in conventional and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, to study. The prosperous phase of the study extends to urban areas, drainage basin, etc. In this stage, the research mainly probes into water resource carrying capacity from characteristic, connotation and the index system, which are using a variety of new mathematical models, in order to let the study gradually transmute into quantitative-rization. The expansion phase of the study refers to groundwater resources carrying capacity, the areas of Karst and irrigation. In this stage, theory study has been especially mature, there are the artificial neural network mode and projection trace appraises model besides the first two stages methods in quantitative-rization evaluation. In the future, the study of water resources bearing capacity will be combined with water resource optional distribution and ecological water requirement enhance study representative area, simultaneously, paying more attention to the issue of recycling Reclaimed Water; During the study, quantitative analysis should be combined with advanced means such as remote sensing, etc. which can realize the development of study from static to dynamics. (C) 2009 Published by Elsevier Ltd.