Arid
Modeling the Effect of Climate Change on Sowing Dates, Yield and Yield Components in Various Wheat Cultivars under Different Agro-ecological Zones of Punjab-Pakistan
Nasim, Wajid; Ahmad, A.; Wajid, S. A.; Usman, M.; Hussain, A.; Khaliq, T.; Sultana, S. R.; Muddasir, M. A.; Ahmad, S.
通讯作者Nasim, Wajid
会议名称International Symposium on Environmental Science and Technology
会议日期JUN 02-05, 2009
会议地点Shanghai, PEOPLES R CHINA
英文摘要

Agriculture is highly dependent on weather, and therefore, changes in global climate could have major effects on crop yields, and thus food supply. The study of historical environmental data (1961-1990) of Pakistan indicated a rise in temperature ranging from 0.1 to 0.2 degrees C per decade while the change in precipitation from 1.0 to 1.5% per decade was observed for most of the regions. A varietals field experiment was conducted at different locations (arid and semi arid) of Punjab-Pakistan. Experiment was laid out in RCBD, with four replications with four wheat varieties. Field data was used to check the capacity of CERES-Wheat for crop growth and yield simulations under different environments. Under the semi arid conditions, the model simulated phenology fairly with error ranging from 7.31 to 15.60 % in days to flowering and 5 to 38 % in days to physiological maturity. The seasonal dynamics of LAI were acceptably simulated by the model. The model predictions of grain yield were very close to the observed values with error ranging from 0.36 to 3.13%. Over all results showed that model can simulate crop growth parameters as well as yield components fairly well. It can be concluded that selection of suitable cultivar could enhance our yield.


英文关键词Crop growth modeling Phenology Yield Wheat cultivars arid and semi Arid conditions of Punjab-Pakistan
来源出版物PROGRESS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, VOL II, PTS A AND B
出版年2009
页码69-74
ISBN978-7-03-024459-8
出版者SCIENCE PRESS BEIJING
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Pakistan
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000271258000012
WOS关键词GROWTH ; MAIZE
WOS类目Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/297894
作者单位Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Agron, Agroclimatol Lab, Faisalabad, Pakistan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nasim, Wajid,Ahmad, A.,Wajid, S. A.,et al. Modeling the Effect of Climate Change on Sowing Dates, Yield and Yield Components in Various Wheat Cultivars under Different Agro-ecological Zones of Punjab-Pakistan[C]:SCIENCE PRESS BEIJING,2009:69-74.
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