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A GEOSTATISTICAL EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF PRECIPITATION EXTREMES IN SOUTHERN PORTUGAL | |
Costa, Ana Cristina; Durao, Rita; Soares, Amilcar; Pereira, Maria Joao | |
通讯作者 | Costa, Ana Cristina |
会议名称 | 56th Session of the International-Statistical-Institute |
会议日期 | AUG 22-29, 2007 |
会议地点 | Lisbon, PORTUGAL |
英文摘要 | In Mediterranean climate regions, prolonged periods of unusually dry conditionsred uce the availability of water resources and affect vegetation cover; while other areas can be affected by an increase in the number of heavy precipitation events, with an increase in the flood risk. Issues such as drought and erosive rainfall have been raising concern about the risks of land degradation and desertification. The main objective of this paper is to provide an insight of the geographic distribution of extreme precipi tation events in the Southern region of continental Portugal, as a basis for a future study of the relationships between extreme rainfall patterns, both spatial and temp oral, and desertification processes. The data used in this study are a set of 105 station records with daily precipitation observations for the period 1940-1999. This 60-year period was chosen to optimize data availability across the region, taking into consideration the quality control analys is performed. Among the numerous indices of extreme precipitation described in the literature, we selected three of them for an exploratory analysis: one index representing dry conditions, another one representing extremely heavy precipitation events and another index representing flood events. For each of these three indices, yearly trends and decadal space-time patterns are investigated. The results show no significant trends in the regional extreme indices. The geostatistical study concluded that the spatial patterns are more continuous in the last decade than the other ones before. The preliminary results of this study agree with other similar studies of the same region reported in the literature. |
英文关键词 | indices of precipitation extremes geostatistical approach southern Portugal |
来源出版物 | REVSTAT-STATISTICAL JOURNAL |
ISSN | 1645-6726 |
出版年 | 2008 |
卷号 | 6 |
期号 | 1 |
页码 | 21-+ |
出版者 | INST NACIONAL ESTATISTICA-INE |
类型 | Article;Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Portugal |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; CPCI-S |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000275192400003 |
WOS关键词 | DAILY TEMPERATURE ; RAINFALL ; TRENDS ; 20TH-CENTURY ; INDEXES ; REGION ; SPAIN |
WOS类目 | Statistics & Probability |
WOS研究方向 | Mathematics |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/297400 |
作者单位 | Univ Nova Lisboa, ISEGI, P-1200 Lisbon, Portugal |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Costa, Ana Cristina,Durao, Rita,Soares, Amilcar,et al. A GEOSTATISTICAL EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF PRECIPITATION EXTREMES IN SOUTHERN PORTUGAL[C]:INST NACIONAL ESTATISTICA-INE,2008:21-+. |
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