Arid
DOI10.1007/1-4020-4493-3_1
Desertification of mid-latitude Northern Asia and global change periodicity in the Quaternary
Dobretsov, N. L.; Zykin, V. S.; Zykina, V. S.
会议名称NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Environmenttal Security and Sustainable Land Use of Mountain and Steppe Territories of Mongolia and Altai
会议日期OCT 25-27, 2004
会议地点Barnaul, RUSSIA
英文摘要

The knowledge of the history of regional geosystems and prediction of their future evolution trends are indispensable for nature conservation. Global warming threatens to become catastrophic and is thus an urgent scientific and social problem. The last century of the past millennium was marked by an exceptional growth of global air temperature which became 0.6 degrees C higher than at the end of the Little Ice Age (1550-1850). Wan-ning was especially rapid after the 1960s, with a linear trend of 0.20 degrees C per decade (global) and 0.29 degrees C per decade in the Northern Hemisphere (Grusa et al., 2001). The past decade was the warmest over the millennium, and 1998 was the globally warmest year. Arctic ice sheets in warm season have reduced in surface area for 10-15% and have become 40% thinner for the past 50 yr. Mountain glaciers in Asia have been reducing and permafrost has been degrading. Scientists are not unanimous about the prospects, some believing that warming-related global change can speed up and cause regional- and global-scale socioeconomic ill effects, and others considering the problem ambiguous and poorly understood; the latter opinion is that prediction has even increased in uncertainty lately instead of being resolved (Boehmer-Christiansen, 2000). Prediction for global change and its short-term consequences is difficult because the changes are driven by sophisticated interplay of numerous climate controls and feedback mechanisms, while the available field and modeling data remain insufficient. The relative contributions of natural and cultural effects to the ongoing warming have not been so far constrained unambiguously.


来源出版物Environmental Security and Sustainable Land Use - with Special Reference to Central Asia
ISSN1871-4668
出版年2006
卷号7
页码3-+
ISBN1-4020-4491-7
出版者SPRINGER
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Russia
收录类别CPCI-S ; CPCI-SSH
WOS记录号WOS:000237451500001
WOS关键词CONTINENTAL CLIMATE RESPONSE ; LAKE BAIKAL ; ICE CORE ; RECORD ; LOESS ; SEDIMENTS ; BRUNHES ; SIBERIA ; SIGNALS ; AGE
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/295916
作者单位(1)Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Moscow 117901, Russia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dobretsov, N. L.,Zykin, V. S.,Zykina, V. S.. Desertification of mid-latitude Northern Asia and global change periodicity in the Quaternary[C]:SPRINGER,2006:3-+.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Dobretsov, N. L.]的文章
[Zykin, V. S.]的文章
[Zykina, V. S.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Dobretsov, N. L.]的文章
[Zykin, V. S.]的文章
[Zykina, V. S.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Dobretsov, N. L.]的文章
[Zykin, V. S.]的文章
[Zykina, V. S.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。