Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
Desiccation in the Sahel | |
Agnew, CT; Chappell, A | |
通讯作者 | Agnew, CT |
会议名称 | Annual Conference on Linking Climate Change to Land Surface Change |
会议日期 | JAN 05, 1999 |
会议地点 | LEICESTER, ENGLAND |
英文摘要 | The Sahel region of West Africa is well known as a region of environmental degradation. The reported incidence of drought and desertification has been challenged but regional desiccation is still widely accepted. This paper investigates the evidence for regional desiccation and in particular the effect of aggregating rainfall statistics across the area. Regression analysis reveals that the recent regional downward trend in rainfall is not reproduced at all stations at the 1 % level of significance but is significant when data is aggregated. Geostatistical methods were used to investigate the spatial variability of rainfall. The results suggest that changes in the raingauge network since 1945 rather than climate may be influencing regional rainfall statistics. It was found that the distribution of raingauges between 1945 and 1975 was not adequate to sample latitudinal changes in rainfall and that the annual rainfall for the region was largely a product of poor sampling east to west until sufficient stations were reporting data from 1970. These results raise questions over the use of regional statistics such as rainfall anomalies and the fitting of regional trend lines to depict climate change in the Sahel. Geostatistical methods offer a more complex but more reliable approach to the estimate of regional rainfall characteristics. |
来源出版物 | LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE TO LAND SURFACE CHANGE |
出版年 | 2000 |
卷号 | 6 |
页码 | 27-48 |
ISBN | 0-7923-6638-7 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
类型 | Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
收录类别 | CPCI-S |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000166737200002 |
WOS关键词 | RAINFALL ; DROUGHT ; DESERTIFICATION ; VARIABILITY ; SERIES |
WOS类目 | Geography, Physical ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/293088 |
作者单位 | (1)Univ Coll London, Dept Geog, London WC1H 0AP, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Agnew, CT,Chappell, A. Desiccation in the Sahel[C]:SPRINGER,2000:27-48. |
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