Arid
Desiccation in the Sahel
Agnew, CT; Chappell, A
通讯作者Agnew, CT
会议名称Annual Conference on Linking Climate Change to Land Surface Change
会议日期JAN 05, 1999
会议地点LEICESTER, ENGLAND
英文摘要

The Sahel region of West Africa is well known as a region of environmental degradation. The reported incidence of drought and desertification has been challenged but regional desiccation is still widely accepted. This paper investigates the evidence for regional desiccation and in particular the effect of aggregating rainfall statistics across the area. Regression analysis reveals that the recent regional downward trend in rainfall is not reproduced at all stations at the 1 % level of significance but is significant when data is aggregated. Geostatistical methods were used to investigate the spatial variability of rainfall. The results suggest that changes in the raingauge network since 1945 rather than climate may be influencing regional rainfall statistics. It was found that the distribution of raingauges between 1945 and 1975 was not adequate to sample latitudinal changes in rainfall and that the annual rainfall for the region was largely a product of poor sampling east to west until sufficient stations were reporting data from 1970. These results raise questions over the use of regional statistics such as rainfall anomalies and the fitting of regional trend lines to depict climate change in the Sahel. Geostatistical methods offer a more complex but more reliable approach to the estimate of regional rainfall characteristics.


来源出版物LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE TO LAND SURFACE CHANGE
出版年2000
卷号6
页码27-48
ISBN0-7923-6638-7
出版者SPRINGER
类型Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家England
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000166737200002
WOS关键词RAINFALL ; DROUGHT ; DESERTIFICATION ; VARIABILITY ; SERIES
WOS类目Geography, Physical ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Physical Geography ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/293088
作者单位(1)Univ Coll London, Dept Geog, London WC1H 0AP, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Agnew, CT,Chappell, A. Desiccation in the Sahel[C]:SPRINGER,2000:27-48.
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