Arid
DOI10.3354/cr009121
Impacts of climate change on the oases of the Argentinean cordillera
Carril, AF; Doyle, ME; Barros, VR; Nunez, MN
通讯作者Carril, AF
会议名称Workshop on Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in Latin America
会议日期APR 22-24, 1996
会议地点MONTEVIDEO, URUGUAY
英文摘要

Until the mid 1970s a negative trend in the river now values in the Argentinean provinces of San Juan and Mendoza (Cuyo region) was observed. The prevailing critical conditions and their economic and social impacts provide a basis for the characterization of an adverse climate change scenario for the region. The causes of the early 1970s scenario were assessed in this study in order to determine whether or not it could be related to global warming conditions. River flows are dependent on winter precipitation and on accumulated snow on the Andes cordillera. The lowest negative river flow Value observed can be explained by the behaviour of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and other macroclimatic parameters, such as sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. It was observed that the SOI is the parameter most strongly correlated with river flows. The highest correlation was found for the 2.4- and 4.8-yr frequencies and the low 43-yr frequency. Consequently, the low river flow values observed during the early 1970s are considered to be related to a low-frequency minimum of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), as well as to the behaviour of sea-surface temperature close to the coast of Chile. Both factors are associated with a minimum hemispheric temperature value. It is concluded that the 1960-70 drought in the eases of the cordillera was not Linked to a warm period. Therefore it is not appropriate, at least for the time being, to state that the eases will experience drought conditions under a global warming scenario with temperature increases of a few degrees.


英文关键词climate change Southern Oscillation sea-surface temperatures flow anomalies rivers of the Cuyo region
来源出版物CLIMATE RESEARCH
ISSN0936-577X
出版年1997
卷号9
期号1-2
页码121-129
出版者INTER-RESEARCH
类型Article;Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家Argentina
收录类别CPCI-S ; SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000072661400019
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/291779
作者单位(1)Univ Buenos Aires, Ctr Invest Mar & Atmosfera, Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, RA-1428 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina;(2)Univ Buenos Aires, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Nat, Dept Ciencias Atmosfera, RA-1428 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Carril, AF,Doyle, ME,Barros, VR,et al. Impacts of climate change on the oases of the Argentinean cordillera[C]:INTER-RESEARCH,1997:121-129.
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