干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Actionable Capability for Social and Economic Systems (ACSES)

Arid

DOI	10.2172/933058
报告编号	ORNL/TM-2008/088
来源ID	OSTI_ID: 933058
	Actionable Capability for Social and Economic Systems (ACSES)
	Fernandez, Steven J [ORNL]; Brecke, Peter K [ORNL]; Carmichael, Theodore D [ORNL]; Eichelberger, Christopher N [ORNL]; Ganguly, Auroop R [ORNL]; Hadzikadic, Mirsad [ORNL]; Jiao, Yu [ORNL]; Khouja, Moutaz J [ORNL]; McLean, Angus L [ORNL]; Middleton, Erin J [ORNL]; Omitaomu, Olufemi A [ORNL]; Saric, Amar [University of North Carolina, Charlotte]; Sun, Min [University of North Carolina, Charlotte]; Whitmeyer, Joseph M [ORNL]; Gilman, Paul [ORNL]; O'Maonaigh, Heather C [ORNL]
英文摘要	The foundation of the Actionable Capability for Social and Economic Systems (ACSES) project is a useful regional-scale social-simulation system. This report is organized into five chapters that describe insights that were gained concerning the five key feasibility questions pertaining to such a system: (1) Should such a simulation system exist, would the current state of data sets or collectible data sets be adequate to support such a system? (2) By comparing different agent-based simulation systems, is it feasible to compare simulation systems and select one appropriate for a given application with agents behaving according to modern social theory rather than ad hoc rule sets? (3) Provided that a selected simulation system for a region of interest could be constructed, can the simulation system be updated with new and changing conditions so that the universe of potential outcomes are constrained by events on the ground as they evolve? (4) As these results are constrained by evolving events on the ground, is it feasible to still generate surprise and emerging behavior to suggest outcomes from novel courses of action? (5) As these systems may for the first time require large numbers (hundreds of millions) of agents operating with complexities demanded of modern social theories, can results still be generated within actionable decision cycles?
出版年	2008
报告类型	Technical Report
语种	英语
国家	美国
来源学科分类	29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY ; ECONOMICS ; SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS ; REGIONAL ANALYSIS ; COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION ; BEHAVIOR ; DECISION MAKING Agent based modeling Regional Stability
URL	http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/933058
资源类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/269589
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fernandez, Steven J [ORNL],Brecke, Peter K [ORNL],Carmichael, Theodore D [ORNL],et al. Actionable Capability for Social and Economic Systems (ACSES),2008.