Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.2172/919162 |
报告编号 | SAND2004-1854 |
来源ID | OSTI_ID: 919162 |
Historical precedence and technical requirements of biological weapons use : a threat assessment. | |
Estes, Daniel P.; Vogel, Kathleen Margaret; Gaudioso, Jennifer Marie; Hickok, Lauren T.; Jung, Danielle F.; Barnett, Natalie Beth; Frerichs, Rebecca L.; Salerno, Reynolds Mathewson | |
英文摘要 | The threat from biological weapons is assessed through both a comparative historical analysis of the patterns of biological weapons use and an assessment of the technological hurdles to proliferation and use that must be overcome. The history of biological weapons is studied to learn how agents have been acquired and what types of states and substate actors have used agents. Substate actors have generally been more willing than states to use pathogens and toxins and they have focused on those agents that are more readily available. There has been an increasing trend of bioterrorism incidents over the past century, but states and substate actors have struggled with one or more of the necessary technological steps. These steps include acquisition of a suitable agent, production of an appropriate quantity and form, and effective deployment. The technological hurdles associated with the steps present a real barrier to producing a high consequence event. However, the ever increasing technological sophistication of society continually lowers the barriers, resulting in a low but increasing probability of a high consequence bioterrorism event. |
出版年 | 2004 |
报告类型 | Technical Report |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
来源学科分类 | 98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION ; PATHOGENS ; PROBABILITY ; PRODUCTION ; PROLIFERATION ; TOXINS ; WEAPONS Terrorism-History. ; Biological weapons. |
URL | http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/919162 |
资源类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/268735 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Estes, Daniel P.,Vogel, Kathleen Margaret,Gaudioso, Jennifer Marie,et al. Historical precedence and technical requirements of biological weapons use : a threat assessment.,2004. |
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