干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Sensitivity of climate models: Comparison of simulated and observed patterns for past climates. Progress report, February 1, 1994--January 31, 1995

Arid

DOI	10.2172/10192430
报告编号	DOE/ER/60304--10
来源ID	OSTI_ID: 10192430
	Sensitivity of climate models: Comparison of simulated and observed patterns for past climates. Progress report, February 1, 1994--January 31, 1995
	Kutzbach, J.; Oglesby, R.J.; Prell, W.L.; Webb, T. III
英文摘要	General circulation models of the atmosphere and oceans are key to the predicition of the potential climate changes that may be induced by increased concentrations of greenhouse gases. Confidence in the predictions of these models can be gained by testing of these models in their ability to simulate past climates. Estimates of global mean temperature change show that the magnitude of warming since the last glacial maximum 21,000 calendar years ago match the magnitude of warming currently being predicted for the doubling of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Simulations of the climatic changes for the past 21,000 years as well as for warmer-than-present climates at 6000 and 125,000 years ago provide an excellent opportunity to test the models that are being used in global climate change research. Recognition of this opportunity has been central to our DOE research for the past decade and is now central to PMIP (Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project) to which our research is contributing.
出版年	1994
报告类型	Technical Report
语种	英语
国家	美国
来源学科分类	54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES ; CLIMATIC CHANGE ; FORECASTING ; PROGRESS REPORT ; CLIMATE MODELS ; PALEOCLIMATOLOGY ; GREENHOUSE GASES 540120 ; CHEMICALS MONITORING AND TRANSPORT
URL	http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/10192430
资源类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/265852
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kutzbach, J.,Oglesby, R.J.,Prell, W.L.,et al. Sensitivity of climate models: Comparison of simulated and observed patterns for past climates. Progress report, February 1, 1994--January 31, 1995,1994.