干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Synthetic liquid fuels development: assessment of critical factors. Volume III. Coal resource depletion

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DOI	10.2172/6996537
报告编号	DOE/CS/50115-T4
来源ID	OSTI_ID: 6996537
	Synthetic liquid fuels development: assessment of critical factors. Volume III. Coal resource depletion
	Dickson, E.M.; Yabroff, I.W.; Kroll, C.A.; White, R.K.; Walton, B.L.; Ivory, M.E.; Fullen, R.E.; Weisbecker, L.W.; Hays, R.L.
英文摘要	While US coal resources are known to be vast, their rate of depletion in a future based predominantly on coal has not been examined analytically heretofore. The Coal Depletion Model inventories the coal resource on a regional basis and calculates the cost of coal extraction by three technologies - strip and underground mining and in-situ combustion. A plausible coal demand scenario extending from 1975 to the year 2050 is used as a basis in applying the model. In the year 2050, plants in operation include 285 syncrude plants, each producing 100,000 B/D; 312 SNG plants, each producing 250 million SCF/D and 722 coal-fired electric power plants, each of 1000 MW capacity. In addition, there is 890 million tons per year of industrial coal consumption. Such a high level of coal use would deplete US coal resources much more rapidly than most people appreciate. Of course, the actual amount of US coal is unknown, and if the coal in the hypothetical reliability category is included, depletion is delayed. Coal in this category, however, has not been mapped; it is only presumed to exist on the basis of geological theory. The coal resource depletion model shows that unilateral imposition of a severance tax by a state tends to shift production to other coal producing regions. Boom and bust cycles are both delayed and reduced in their magnitude. When several states simultaneously impose severance taxes, the effect of each is weakened.Key policy issues that emerge from this analysis concern the need to reduce the uncertainty of the magnitude and geographic distribution of the US coal resource and the need to stimulate interaction among the parties at interest to work out equitable and acceptable coal conversion plant location strategies capable of coping with the challenges of a high-coal future.
出版年	1977
报告类型	Technical Report
语种	英语
国家	美国
来源学科分类	01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT ; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY ; COAL GASIFICATION PLANTS ; SITE SELECTION ; COAL LIQUEFACTION PLANTS ; COAL MINING ; MATHEMATICAL MODELS ; USA ; COAL RESERVES ; ENERGY DEMAND ; ENERGY POLICY ; FORECASTING ; SYNTHETIC FUELS ; TAXES ; DEMAND ; FUELS ; GOVERNMENT POLICIES ; INDUSTRIAL PLANTS ; MINING ; NORTH AMERICA ; RESERVES ; RESOURCES 012000* -- Coal, Lignite, & Peat-- Mining ; 011000 -- Coal, Lignite, & Peat-- Reserves, Geology, & Exploration ; 294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
URL	http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/6996537
资源类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/259786
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dickson, E.M.,Yabroff, I.W.,Kroll, C.A.,et al. Synthetic liquid fuels development: assessment of critical factors. Volume III. Coal resource depletion,1977.