干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 基于STIRPAT 模型的内蒙古沙漠化地区环境压力分析

Arid

	基于STIRPAT 模型的内蒙古沙漠化地区环境压力分析
其他题名	Environmental Pressure Analysis of Desertification in Inner Mongolia Based on STIRPAT Model
	樊胜岳; 刘文文; 周宁
来源期刊	中国沙漠
ISSN	1000-694X
出版年	2019
卷号	39 期号:3 页码:117-125
中文摘要	实现经济与生态环境的协调发展,已经成为当前治理沙漠化的巨大挑战。如何定量分析人类活动和自然条件对环境的影响,是当前环境经济学界研究的热点问题。以内蒙古自治区71个沙漠化县为研究对象,以1986 2010年为研究区间做面板空间计量实证分析。选取了人口、富裕度、技术水平、风速和降水作为环境基础指标构建STIRPAT模型,从环境压力内在驱动角度定量分析不同的自然因素和人为因素对沙漠化地区环境的综合影响。结果表明:在观测数据范围内,富裕度、技术水平、风速和降水是内蒙古自治区环境压力的主要驱动因素;富裕度每增加1%,环境压力显著增加0.096%;技术水平每变化1%,将引起环境压力相应发生0.084%的变化;风速和降水每变动1%分别使得沙漠地区环境压力显著地增加0.640%和减少0.216%。
英文摘要	The coordinated development of the economic and ecological environment has become a huge challenge in the current management of desertification. How to quantitatively analyze the impact of human activities and natural conditions on the environment has become a hot issue in the current research of environmental economics,and it is also a problem to be studied in this paper. This paper uses a panel spatial econometric model for empirical analysis in 71 desertification counties in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region over the period 1986-2010. We select the number of agricultural labor,capita GDP,technological level,wind speed,and precipitation as the basic indicators of environment to build the STIRPAT model. The comprehensive impact of different natural factors and human factors on the environmental pressure in desertification areas was quantitatively analyzed from the point of internal driving force of environmental pressure. The study shows that capita GDP,technological level,wind speed and precipitation are the main drivers of environmental pressure in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region within the scope of observational data; As the degree of affluence increased by 1%,the environmental pressure increased significantly by 0.096%,and each change of 1% of the technical level would lead to a 0.084% change in the environmental pressure.The each change of 1% of wind speed and precipitation will respectively lead to a significant increase of 0. 640% and reduce by 0.216% of the environmental pressure in desert areas.
中文关键词	环境压力 ; 驱动力 ; 沙漠化 ; IPAT 模型
英文关键词	environmental pressure driving force desertification IPAT model
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	ECONOMICS
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics
CSCD记录号	CSCD:6502705
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/239790
作者单位	中央民族大学经济学院, 北京 100081, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	樊胜岳,刘文文,周宁. 基于STIRPAT 模型的内蒙古沙漠化地区环境压力分析[J],2019,39(3):117-125.
APA	樊胜岳,刘文文,&周宁.(2019).基于STIRPAT 模型的内蒙古沙漠化地区环境压力分析.中国沙漠,39(3),117-125.
MLA	樊胜岳,et al."基于STIRPAT 模型的内蒙古沙漠化地区环境压力分析".中国沙漠 39.3(2019):117-125.