Arid
气候变暖对半干旱区马铃薯产量的影响
其他题名Influence of Climate Warming on Potato Yields in Semi-arid Region
姚玉璧; 雷俊; 牛海洋; 南海燕; 张秀云
来源期刊生态环境学报
ISSN1674-5906
出版年2016
卷号25期号:8页码:1264-1270
中文摘要基于西北典型半干旱区马铃薯定位观测试验,结合气候要素平行观测资料,研究了半干旱区马铃薯产量对气候变化的响应。结果表明,19572015年间(59 a),西北半干旱区在气温显著上升,气温和降水量气候倾向率分别为0.238℃/10 a、-10.517 mm/10 a。马铃薯产量与苗期(6月)呈显著负相关(P<0.01),与块茎膨大期(8月)气温也呈负相关(P<0.10),68月气温每升高1℃,马铃薯产量下降4 391.396798.46 kg·hm~(-2)。产量与生育期≥0℃积温呈显著负相关(P<0.05),适宜≥0℃积温阈值为2 307.4℃。产量与苗期降水量呈正相关(P<0.10),适宜降水量阈值为47.8 mm。产量与9月中旬日照时数呈显著正相关(P<0.01)。马铃薯生育期干燥指数与产量呈显著负相关(P<0.05),适宜阈值为1.88。研究还发现气温变化对马铃薯产量影响的敏感期在出苗至分枝期,而水分影响马铃薯产量敏感期分别在分枝到开花期和块茎膨大期,同时,块茎膨大期也是日照变化影响产量的敏感期。因此,气候变暖对西北半干旱地区马铃薯的生产形成了负面影响。
英文摘要Based on the site-specific observation data and related meteorological records, the influence of climate warming on potato yield and the sensitivity of potato growth to climate warming had been analyzed. The results showed that the temperature has rose significantly from 19572015 in the study region. The climate tendency rates of temperature and precipitation were 0.238 ℃/10 a,-10.517 mm/10 a, respectively. Under this situation, the potato yield was significantly negatively correlated with seeding stage(P<0.01) in June, and was significantly negatively correlated with the air temperature in tuber expansion period (P<0.01). The yield of potato decreased by about 4 391.39~6 798.46 kg·hm-2 when air temperature increased 1 ℃ from June to August. There was a negative correlation between accumulated temperature above 0 ℃ and yield. The appropriate threshold of accumulated temperature above 0 ℃ is 2 307.4 ℃. There was an positive correlation between precipitation in seeding stage and the yield of potato. The appropriate threshold of precipitation is 47.8 mm. There was a significant positive correlation between the yield of potato and sun duration in the middle of September (P<0.01). There was a significant negative correlation between the aridity index and the yield during the growing period (P<0.01). The appropriate threshold of aridity index is 1.88. During the tuber expansion period the potato was sensitive to the temperature. The yield is sensitive to temperature change from the emergence of seedling period to florescence period. The sensitive period of the potato yield to the precipitation was in the bifurcation-unfold period and unfold -tuber expansion period. And the tuber expansion period was the period which was sensitive to sun duration. Therefore, The climate warming have negative influence on potato production in the study area.
中文关键词马铃薯 ; 产量形成 ; 气候变暖 ; 半干旱区
英文关键词potato yield formation climate warming semi-arid region
类型Article
语种中文
国家中国
收录类别CSCD
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
CSCD记录号CSCD:5845551
来源机构中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/234723
作者单位姚玉璧, 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所, 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室;;中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730020, 中国.; 雷俊, 甘肃省定西市气象局, 定西, 甘肃 743000, 中国.; 牛海洋, 甘肃省定西市气象局, 定西, 甘肃 743000, 中国.; 张秀云, 甘肃省定西市气象局, 定西, 甘肃 743000, 中国.; 南海燕, 甘肃省通渭县气象局, 通渭, 甘肃 743000, 中国.
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GB/T 7714
姚玉璧,雷俊,牛海洋,等. 气候变暖对半干旱区马铃薯产量的影响[J]. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,2016,25(8):1264-1270.
APA 姚玉璧,雷俊,牛海洋,南海燕,&张秀云.(2016).气候变暖对半干旱区马铃薯产量的影响.生态环境学报,25(8),1264-1270.
MLA 姚玉璧,et al."气候变暖对半干旱区马铃薯产量的影响".生态环境学报 25.8(2016):1264-1270.
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