干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响

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	艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响
其他题名	Impact of the Climate Change of Ebinur Lake Basin on Surface Water Resources
	许兴斌 1; 王勇辉 1; 姚俊强 2
来源期刊	水土保持研究
ISSN	1005-3409
出版年	2015
卷号	22 期号:3 页码:121-126
中文摘要	利用艾比湖流域逐月气温、降水数据,结合流域地表径流和艾比湖湖泊面积数据,分析了19612010年流域气候要素变化趋势和突变特征,探讨了气候变化对流域地表水资源的影响。结果表明:(1)近50 a来艾比湖流域气温、降水均呈波动上升趋势,气候由暖干型向暖湿型转变。冬季升温对流域气温增幅贡献率大,气温在1995年发生突变。冬季降水量增幅明显,夏季只有温泉站点降水量增幅显著,降水量在1984年发生突变;(2)流域年均气温与径流量呈正相关,年降水量与径流量的变化呈显著同步性;(3)流域年平均气温与艾比湖面积大小关系复杂;年平均降水量与湖泊面积的变化趋势趋于同步,19961999年这种同步性更明显;(4)气候变化直接影响冰川伸缩与雪线升降,冰川数量和规模均逐渐减小,用水矛盾日益尖锐,影响绿洲社会经济发展。
英文摘要	Using data of monthly temperature, precipitation of Ebinur Lake Basin, and combining its overland runoff and lake area, we analyzed the variation trend and mutation characteristics of climate elements in Ebinur Lake basin from 1961 to 2010 and discussed the impact of the climate change on surface water resources. The results indicated that: (1) the temperature and precipitation in Ebinur Lake Basin both reflected a fluctuating upward trend in recent 50 years, with the climate changing from a warm-dry to warm-wet type, temperature rise in winter contributed to the temperature rise of Ebinur Lake Basin, the temperature mutated in 1995, precipitation showed remarkable increase in winter, this increase is only notable in hotspring in summer, precipitation mutated in 1984; (2) annual mean temperature was positively correlated with runoff volume in Ebinur Lake Basin, variation of annual mean precipitation was remarkably synchronized with that of runoff volume; (3) it was complex between the higher annual mean temperature and area of Ebinur Lake Basin. The trends of the precipitation show good agreement with the lake area, especially the 19961999; (4) climate change directly impacted the glacier scale and snow line height. The gradual decline of glacier scale and deficiency of water resources will affect the development of oasis social economy.
中文关键词	艾比湖流域 ; 气候变化 ; 突变 ; 水资源
英文关键词	Ebinur Lake Basin climate change mutate water resource
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
CSCD记录号	CSCD:5421149
来源机构	新疆师范大学 ; 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/233373
作者单位	1.新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院, 新疆干旱区湖泊环境与资源重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830054, 中国; 2.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	许兴斌,王勇辉,姚俊强. 艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响[J]. 新疆师范大学, 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,2015,22(3):121-126.
APA	许兴斌,王勇辉,&姚俊强.(2015).艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响.水土保持研究,22(3),121-126.
MLA	许兴斌,et al."艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响".水土保持研究 22.3(2015):121-126.