Arid
甘肃旱作区玉米近40年干旱影响评估
其他题名Variation of drought disaster characteristics and its risk assessment on maize for 40 years in the main growing area in arid regions of Gansu Province
姚小英1; 吴丽1; 田广旭2; 周忠文3; 吴婷芳1
来源期刊干旱区资源与环境
ISSN1003-7578
出版年2015
卷号29期号:5页码:192-196
中文摘要运用1971-2010年甘肃旱作玉米主产区降水资料及产量资料,分析了40年干旱时空变化特征,建立了干旱影响玉米产量的风险评估指数,对玉米不同时期不同等级干旱风险进行了分析评估。结果表明:春旱以陇东黄土高原及陇西黄土高原的定西出现频率最高,均在0.35次/年以上;徽成盆地及两江流域出现频率最少,为0.18次/年;初夏旱出现频次最高的地区为环县,为0.35次/年,最少为西峰、成县及秦安;伏旱出现频率最高地区为环县及麦积,最低为定西一带;秋旱出现频率最高为陇东黄土高原平凉一带,最低为陇南地区。各地干旱均以轻旱为主,其次为中旱。40年中,上世纪90年代干旱出现频次最多,80年代最少。进入21世纪,秋旱发生频次明显减少,春旱则有相对增多的趋势。玉米全生育期陇南地区受旱灾影响风险最小,种植保险率最高;其次为陇西黄土高原;陇东黄土高原种植保险程度最低,干旱影响最大。
英文摘要Based on the precipitation data from 1971 to 2010 in eight weather stations which located in the maize growing area in arid regions of Gansu Province and the maize yield data,the spatial and temporal variation of drought characteristics for 40 years had been analyzed,the risk model index for assessing drought disaster was set up and the drought risk of maize was analyzed.The results showed that the drought frequency in spring was the highest in Longdong loess plateau and Dingxi in Longxi loess plateau,it was up to 0.35-0.39 times/year; the least in Longnan regions,lower to 0.18 times/year; the drought frequency in early summer was the highest in Huan county,up to 0.35 times/year; the least in Xifeng,Cheng and Qinan counties; the drought frequency in hot summer was the highest in Huan county and Maiji district,the least in Anding; the drought frequency in autumn was the highest in Kuntong,the least in Longnan.The frequency of light drought was the highest and followed by middle drought.Drought frequency was the most in the 1990s,the least in the 1980s.The drought frequency in autumn has decreased significantly,and increased in spring since the 21st century.The growing risk of maize in the whole stages was the least in Longnan,the insurance rate was the highest,up to 92-94%,followed by Longxi loess plateau,the insurance rate was 90-91%; drought risk was larger,the insurance rate was 88-90% in Longdong loess plateau.
中文关键词玉米主产区 ; 干旱灾害 ; 评估
英文关键词the main growing area of maize arid regions of Gansu Province drought disaster variation assessment
语种中文
国家中国
收录类别CSCD
WOS类目AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向Agriculture
CSCD记录号CSCD:5414574
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/232785
作者单位1.甘肃省天水市气象局, 天水, 甘肃 741000, 中国;
2.甘肃省陇南市气象局, 武都, 746000;
3.甘肃省庆阳市气象局, 西峰, 745000
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
姚小英,吴丽,田广旭,等. 甘肃旱作区玉米近40年干旱影响评估[J],2015,29(5):192-196.
APA 姚小英,吴丽,田广旭,周忠文,&吴婷芳.(2015).甘肃旱作区玉米近40年干旱影响评估.干旱区资源与环境,29(5),192-196.
MLA 姚小英,et al."甘肃旱作区玉米近40年干旱影响评估".干旱区资源与环境 29.5(2015):192-196.
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