干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 中国全球变化趋势与南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险

Arid

	中国全球变化趋势与南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险
其他题名	GLOBAL CHANGE TENDENCY IN CHINA AND GLOBAL CHANGE RISK FROM THE WESTERN ROUTE OF CHINESE SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER TRANSFER PROJECT
	江新胜; 刘宝珺
来源期刊	矿物岩石
ISSN	1001-6872
出版年	2014
卷号	34 期号:4 页码:108-115
中文摘要	从全球变化演化历史、发展趋势及其对地球多圈层的影响出发,总结、分析了中国白垩纪以来全球变化的演化过程,认为青藏高原是全球变化的发动机、东亚水循环的心脏,气候带快速漂变是当前全球变化的特点,南旱北湿是中国全球变化的发展趋势。分析了南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险,认为在青藏高原腹地兴建调水工程不是跨流域调水而是跨源区调水,可能导致人类难以应对的全球变化,建议放弃南水北调西线工程实施计划,规避由此带来的潜在风险。
英文摘要	Based on the global change history,tendency and its effect on multi-spheres of the earth,the global change process since the Cretaceous is summarized in this paper.It is concluded that the Tibetan Plateau is the engine of the global change and the heart of the hydrologic cycle over the eastern Asian.Quick drifting of climatic zone is the characteristics of today global change,and humid in the north China and arid in the south China will be the global change trend of China.The global change risk in the Western Route of Chinese South-to-North Water Transfer Project is prospected and it is considered that the water transfer project in interior of the Tibetan Plateau is not inter-drainage water transfer project but inter-source water transfer project and possibly generates global change,which is hard to overcome by human beings.Therefore,it is suggested to give up the project to avoid the potential risk.
中文关键词	全球变化趋势 ; 气候带漂变 ; 青藏高原 ; 南水北调西线工程 ; 跨源区调水
英文关键词	global change tendency climatic zone drift Tibetan Plateau Western Route of Chinese South-to-North Water Transfer Project inter-source water transfer
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
CSCD记录号	CSCD:5326649
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/231405
作者单位	成都地质矿产研究所, 成都, 四川 610081, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	江新胜,刘宝珺. 中国全球变化趋势与南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险[J],2014,34(4):108-115.
APA	江新胜,&刘宝珺.(2014).中国全球变化趋势与南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险.矿物岩石,34(4),108-115.
MLA	江新胜,et al."中国全球变化趋势与南水北调西线工程的全球变化风险".矿物岩石 34.4(2014):108-115.