干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化的若干特征

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	中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化的若干特征
其他题名	Changing characteristics of extreme climate events during past 2000 years in China
	郑景云; 郝志新; 方修琦; 葛全胜
来源期刊	地理科学进展
ISSN	1007-6301
出版年	2014
卷号	33 期号:1 页码:3-12
中文摘要	历史时期极端气候事件变化是当前气候变化研究的热点领域。本文根据近20年这一研究领域的主要文献,对中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化特征进行了梳理和总结。已有认识表明:①在1500-1900年和220-580年等气候寒冷期,中国不但多次出现过较1950年以后所出现的极端冷冬更为显著的寒冷事件,而且其间的相对温暖时段也出现过日最高气温超过20世纪极端记录的炎夏。②在中国东部季风区,在公元301-400、751-800、1051-1150、1501-1550和1601-1650年极端干旱多发;101-150、251-300、951-1000、1701-1750、1801-1850和1901-1950年极端大涝多发;1551-1600年则是极端干旱与大涝并发最为频繁的时段。7-8世纪、12-14世纪和15世纪后期-17世纪中期多发极端连旱;10-11世纪及17世纪中期以后,多发极端连涝。华北、江淮和江南3个地区的极端干旱和大涝事件多发时段存在差异;此外,历史极端连旱事件如崇祯大旱和丁戊奇荒等也得到辨识。③在西北干旱区,极端干旱主要集中发生在1471-1520年、1581-1650年、1711-1760年、1811-1860年和1921-1970年等5个时段,其中18世纪10年代可能是过去千年极端干旱最严重的年代。④在西南地区,虽然21世纪初旱灾频发,但与2006年川渝特大干旱相仿的事件在史上也曾多次发生过。
英文摘要	In the current research on climate changes it is a hot topic to study the changes of extreme climatic events during historical periods. In this paper, based on the reconstructions from multiple proxy types including historical documents, tree-rings, ice cores and lake sediments in the published literature of the recent 20 years, we summarized the characteristics of changes of extreme climate events during the past 2000 years in China. The analysis shows that: (1) During the cold periods of 1500-1900 and 220-580, there appeared extremely cold winters that were even colder than the cold winters in the years after 1950, and there appeared hot summers with daily highest temperature exceeding record high of the years in the 20th century as well. In the past 1600 years, the cold summer events in Northeast of China mainly occurred during the period of 1400-1900. (2) In the eastern monsoon region of China, the extreme drought events prevailed during the periods of 301-400, 751-800,1051-1150, 1501-1550 and 1601-1650, the extreme flood events often occurred during the periods of 101-150,251-300, 951-1000, 1701-1750, 1801-1850 and 1901-1950, and for the period of 1551-1600, coexisting extreme drought and extreme flood events occurred most frequently. The frequency of persistent extreme drought was higher during the 7th-8th century, 12th-14th century and late-15th century to mid-17th century; the frequency of sustaining extreme flood was higher during the 10th-11th century and after the mid-17th century. The time intervals of extreme drought/flood events are different in North China, Yangtze and Huaihe River Valley and south of Yangtze River. In addition, the notable extreme drought events, such as "Chong Zhen Drought" in the Ming Dynasty, and "Ding Wu Famine" in the Qing Dynasty, were recognized. (3) In the arid region of Northwest China, the extreme drought events mainly occurred during the periods of 1471-1520, 1581-1650, 1711-1760,1811-1860 and 1921-1970. 1710s was the most severe drought decade during the past 1000 years. However, due to the very limited climate proxy data for this region, the primary characteristics of complete change process of the extreme events were difficult to evaluate. (4) Although drought frequently occurred in southwest of China during the early 21th century, the extreme drought events as severe as the one in Sichuan and Chongqing in 2006 occurred many times during the historical periods.
中文关键词	过去2000年 ; 极端气候事件 ; 变化特征 ; 中国
英文关键词	past 2000 years extreme climate event characteristic of change China
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
CSCD记录号	CSCD:5044408
来源机构	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/230912
作者单位	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	郑景云,郝志新,方修琦,等. 中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化的若干特征[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2014,33(1):3-12.
APA	郑景云,郝志新,方修琦,&葛全胜.(2014).中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化的若干特征.地理科学进展,33(1),3-12.
MLA	郑景云,et al."中国过去2000年极端气候事件变化的若干特征".地理科学进展 33.1(2014):3-12.