干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 乌鲁木齐河出山径流对气候变化的敏感性分析

Arid

	乌鲁木齐河出山径流对气候变化的敏感性分析
其他题名	Sensitivity of the mountain runoff of Urumqi River to the climate changes
	蓝永超 1; 沈永平 2; 钟英君 3; 吴素芬 4; 王国亚 5
来源期刊	干旱区资源与环境
ISSN	1003-7578
出版年	2010
卷号	24 期号:11 页码:50-55
中文摘要	根据有关水文气象台站的观测资料,对1960s以来乌鲁木齐河山区流域降水,气温与径流变化的特征和趋势进行了分析,并在此基础上,根据径流与降水,气温的非线性关系建立了径流对气候变化的响应模型以定量分析出山径流对气候变化的响应程度.分析结果表明:从上个世纪80年代后期到本世纪初,乌鲁木齐河山区流域气候变化明显地向"暖湿"方向转化,出山径流山区降水,气温变化均呈正相关关系.受降水增加和气温上升的影响,乌鲁木齐河出山径流量总体上一直呈持续递增的态势.但相对而言,径流对降水变化的敏感更甚于气温.未来出山径流的变化将主要取决于山区降水的增减,在一定时期内,气温的上升将有利于出山径流量的增加
英文摘要	Characteristics and trends of precipitation, temperature and runoff variation in the mountain watershed of Urumqi River basin in past over 40 years were analyzed based on the measured data at the relational hydrological and weather stations in the area, and a responding model was established to find out the sensibility of mountain runoff to climate change. The results showed that the mountain climate of Urumqi River basin has been transforming obviously from cold and arid to wet and warm during the period from late stage of 1980s to the turn of the century. Because there was a markedly positive correlation between Mountain runoff and temperature, precipitation, the mountain runoff also has been increasing under the influences of precipitation increasing and temperature rising in the mountain watershed. The mountain runoff was more sensitive to mountain precipitation change than temperature, comparatively speaking.the runoff was more sensitive to mountain precipitation change than temperature change. Change of the mountain runoff in future will be decided by primarily mountain precipitation, and temperature rising will be propitious to runoff increasing during a specified time
中文关键词	气候变化 ; 乌鲁木齐河 ; 山区流域 ; 出山径流
英文关键词	climate change Urumqi River the mountain watershed the mountain runoff
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
CSCD记录号	CSCD:4071934
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/225190
作者单位	1.中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 中国科学院生态水文与流域科学重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国; 2.中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国; 3.新疆水利水电学校, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830000, 中国; 4.新疆水文水资源局, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830000, 中国; 5.中国科学院生态水文与流域科学重点实验室, 中国科学院生态水文与流域科学重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	蓝永超,沈永平,钟英君,等. 乌鲁木齐河出山径流对气候变化的敏感性分析[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2010,24(11):50-55.
APA	蓝永超,沈永平,钟英君,吴素芬,&王国亚.(2010).乌鲁木齐河出山径流对气候变化的敏感性分析.干旱区资源与环境,24(11),50-55.
MLA	蓝永超,et al."乌鲁木齐河出山径流对气候变化的敏感性分析".干旱区资源与环境 24.11(2010):50-55.