干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 黑龙江省气象灾害风险评估与区划

Arid

	黑龙江省气象灾害风险评估与区划
其他题名	Risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disaster in Heilongjiang Province
	李文亮; 张冬有; 张丽娟
ISSN	1000-6060
出版年	2009
卷号	32 期号:5 页码:754-760
中文摘要	利用黑龙江省74个气象站1971-2005年夏季气温和2004-2007年的农作物受灾面积资料,采用信息扩散理论对黑龙江省低温冷害、干旱和洪涝等主要气象灾害进行了风险评估与区划研究,对干旱和洪涝采用受灾指数评估方法.研究结果表明:黑龙江省低温冷害风险概率主要表现为北部大于南部,一般冷害风险概率表现为西南地区大于全省其它地区,严重冷害风险概率则表现为北部地区最高,中部及东南部地区次之;黑龙江省干旱灾害风险概率西部和北部地区明显高于南部和东部地区;黑龙江省洪涝灾害风险概率则表现为中部地区大于全省其它地区,中部伊春地区为全省洪涝灾害高风险区.
英文摘要	Heilongjiang Province is an important commercial grain production base in China; it is also one of high frequency regions with low temperature and cold damage, arid and flood disasters in our nation. It can provide important basis for the government in disaster prevention and reduction through the research about occurrence situation and spatial distribution of disaster risk. This paper did the research of risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disasters in Heilongjiang Province by using information diffusion theory with the help of 35 years’summer temperature data of 74 meteorological stations from 1971 to 2005 and crop disaster area data in Heilongjiang Province from 2004 to 2007. It is the first of the risk assessment of low temperature and cold damage based on the relevant standard and the risk assessment of arid and flood disasters by using disaster index. Some research results are as follows; the risk probability of low temperature and cold damage in the northern region is higher than that in the southern region , the risk probability of general low temperature and cold damage in the southwest region is the highest, the serious risk probability of low temperature and cold damage in the northern region is the highest, followed by the central and southeast region,, the arid risk probability in the western and northern region is higher than that in the southern and eastern region; when risk level is 5% , almost all the counties and cities in Heilongjiang Province would take place arid disaster; when risk level up to 25% , the risk probability has been decreased, high risk mainly locates in the northern and western part of Heilongjiang Province, the central and eastern region has been decreased obviously; when risk level is 50% , high risk region only locates in the western part; the flood disaster risk probability in the central region is the highest, the Yichun region is the high - risk region for flood disaster in Heilongjiang Province. When risk level is 5% , the flood disasters mainly happen in the north central region of Heilongjiang Province; when risk level up to 25% , the risk probability has been decreased, but high risk still distributes in some counties and cities, which locates in the central part of Heilongjiang Province, when risk level is 50% , high risk region has been decreased obviously, only exists in north central and north western part of Heilongjiang Province. This paper is the first of the research about risk assessment and zoning of every county and city in Heilongjiang Province by using information diffusion theory, it hastens the development of meteorological disaster risk assessment and provides basis for government, insurance and other departments to make relevant policies.
中文关键词	信息扩散 ; 气象灾害 ; 风险评估 ; 区划 ; 黑龙江省
英文关键词	information diffusion meteorological disaster risk assessment zoning Heilongjiang province
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
CSCD记录号	CSCD:3684600
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/223574
作者单位	哈尔滨师范大学,地理科学学院, 哈尔滨, 黑龙江 150025, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	李文亮,张冬有,张丽娟. 黑龙江省气象灾害风险评估与区划[J],2009,32(5):754-760.
APA	李文亮,张冬有,&张丽娟.(2009).黑龙江省气象灾害风险评估与区划.,32(5),754-760.
MLA	李文亮,et al."黑龙江省气象灾害风险评估与区划".32.5(2009):754-760.