干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Application of NSGA-II and Improved Risk Decision Method for Integrated Water Resources Management of Malian River Basin

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w11081650
	Application of NSGA-II and Improved Risk Decision Method for Integrated Water Resources Management of Malian River Basin
	Gao, Yayu 1,2,3; Zhang, Xinmin 4; Zhang, Xiaoyou 1,2; Li, Duan 1,2; Yang, Min 2,5; Tian, Jinhua 3
通讯作者	Gao, Yayu
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2019
卷号	11 期号:8
英文摘要	The Malian River Basin is the Longdong grain elevator and a new oil and energy base of East Gansu Province. Limited water resources programming utilization is a key for the development of the socio-economic and energy industry, as well as the improvement of the ecological environment. An analytical framework for assessing socioeconomic development, rational allocation of water resources, and guiding policy development is proposed in this study. A decision tree method was used in the risk analysis and was improved by introducing the expert advisory probabilistic method into the sensitivity analysis to reduce cognitive bias. A large-system multi-objective model was developed to solve the problem of the rational allocation of available water resources and for benefit maximization among water users. The Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) method was used to generate a solution. The water supply amount within the basin was 8.69 x 10(8) m(3) and the water shortage rate was 15.90%. The optimization model method had better distribution results than the weights method without new water supply. Through the model method results, the water saving potential was found and the related policies were proposed. The framework and methods can further provide a reference for both the planning of water resources and the formulation of regulatory policies and will greatly alleviate water crises in semi-arid areas.
英文关键词	integrated management of water resources large-system multi-objective model NSGA-II method risk decision-making improved decision tree method Malian River Basin
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Peoples R China
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000484561500124
WOS关键词	RESERVOIR OPERATING RULES ; EVOLUTIONARY ALGORITHMS ; GENETIC ALGORITHM ; MODEL ; OPTIMIZATION ; ALLOCATION ; SCALE ; QUALITY ; DESIGN
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/219245
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 3.Gansu Prov Soil & Water Conservat Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; 4.Gansu Prov Water Sci Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gao, Yayu,Zhang, Xinmin,Zhang, Xiaoyou,et al. Application of NSGA-II and Improved Risk Decision Method for Integrated Water Resources Management of Malian River Basin[J],2019,11(8).
APA	Gao, Yayu,Zhang, Xinmin,Zhang, Xiaoyou,Li, Duan,Yang, Min,&Tian, Jinhua.(2019).Application of NSGA-II and Improved Risk Decision Method for Integrated Water Resources Management of Malian River Basin.WATER,11(8).
MLA	Gao, Yayu,et al."Application of NSGA-II and Improved Risk Decision Method for Integrated Water Resources Management of Malian River Basin".WATER 11.8(2019).