干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The Capacity of the Hydrological Modeling for Water Resource Assessment under the Changing Environment in Semi-Arid River Basins in China

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w11071328
	The Capacity of the Hydrological Modeling for Water Resource Assessment under the Changing Environment in Semi-Arid River Basins in China
	Guan, Xiaoxiang 1,2; Zhang, Jianyun 1,2,3; Elmahdi, Amgad 4; Li, Xuemei 5; Liu, Jing 2,3; Liu, Yue 1,2; Jin, Junliang 2,3; Liu, Yanli 2,3; Bao, Zhenxin 2,3; Liu, Cuishan 2,3; He, Ruimin 2,3; Wang, Guoqing 1,2,3,6
通讯作者	Zhang, Jianyun ; Wang, Guoqing
来源期刊	WATER
ISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2019
卷号	11 期号:7
英文摘要	Conducting water resource assessment and forecasting at a basin scale requires effective and accurate simulation of the hydrological process. However, intensive, complex human activities and environmental changes are constraining and challenging the hydrological modeling development and application by complicating the hydrological cycle within its local contexts. Six sub-catchments of the Yellow River basin, the second-largest river in China, situated in a semi-arid climate zone, have been selected for this study, considering hydrological processes under a natural period (before 1970) and under intensive human disturbance (2000-2013). The study aims to assess the capacity and performance of the hydrological models in simulating the discharge under a changing environment. Four well-documented and applied hydrological models, i.e., the Xin'anjiang (XAJ) model, GR4J model, SIMHYD model, and RCCC-WBM (Water Balance Model developed by Research Center for Climate Change) model, were selected for this assessment. The results show that (1) the annual areal temperature of all sub-catchments presented a significant rising trend, and annual precipitation exhibited insignificant decline trend; (2) as a result of climate change and intensive human activities, the annual runoff series showed a declining trend with abrupt changes mostly occurring in the 1980s with the exception of the Tangnaihai station; (3) the four hydrological models generally performed well for runoff simulation for all sub-catchments under the natural period. In terms of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient, the XAJ model worked better in comparison to other hydrological models due to its detailed representations and complicated mechanism in runoff generation and flow-routing scheme; (4) environmental changes have impacted the performance of the four hydrological models under all sub-catchments, in particularly the Pianguan River catchment, which is could be attributed to the various human activities that in turn represent more complexity for the regional hydrological cycle to some extent, and reduce the ability to predict the runoff series; (5) the RCCC-WBM model, well known for its simple structure and principles, is considered to be acceptable for runoff simulation for both natural and human disturbance periods, and is recommended for water resource assessment under changing environments for semi-arid regions.
英文关键词	Yellow River basin climate change hydro-meteorological variation hydrological modeling water resource assessment
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Peoples R China ; Egypt
开放获取类型	gold, Green Submitted, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000480632300013
WOS关键词	MIYUN RESERVOIR BASIN ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BALANCE MODELS ; STREAMFLOW ; SENSITIVITY ; CATCHMENT ; IMPACTS ; RUNOFF ; VARIABILITY ; FLOW
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
来源机构	河海大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/219228
作者单位	1.Hohai Univ, Inst Hydrol & Water Resources, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Minist Water Resources, Res Ctr Climate Change, Nanjing 210029, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Nanjing Hydraul Res Inst, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210029, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 4.IWMI, MENA Reg, Cairo 3000, Egypt; 5.Minist Water Resources, Hydrol Bur, Yellow River Conservancy Commiss, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan, Peoples R China; 6.Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Resources & Environm, Chengdu 611731, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guan, Xiaoxiang,Zhang, Jianyun,Elmahdi, Amgad,et al. The Capacity of the Hydrological Modeling for Water Resource Assessment under the Changing Environment in Semi-Arid River Basins in China[J]. 河海大学,2019,11(7).
APA	Guan, Xiaoxiang.,Zhang, Jianyun.,Elmahdi, Amgad.,Li, Xuemei.,Liu, Jing.,...&Wang, Guoqing.(2019).The Capacity of the Hydrological Modeling for Water Resource Assessment under the Changing Environment in Semi-Arid River Basins in China.WATER,11(7).
MLA	Guan, Xiaoxiang,et al."The Capacity of the Hydrological Modeling for Water Resource Assessment under the Changing Environment in Semi-Arid River Basins in China".WATER 11.7(2019).