干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): CMIP5 projected changes in temperature and precipitation in arid and humid basins

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s00704-018-2542-1
	CMIP5 projected changes in temperature and precipitation in arid and humid basins
	Zhu, Boli 1; Xue, Lianqing 1,2; Wei, Guanghui 3; Zhang, Luocheng 3; Chen, Xinfang 1
通讯作者	Xue, Lianqing
来源期刊	THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0177-798X
EISSN	1434-4483
出版年	2019
卷号	136 期号:3-4 页码:1133-1144
英文摘要	Future changes projected in surface temperature and precipitation behave differently in different regions or watersheds and vary greatly in space and time, even within the same region under climate change. This study aims to detect and compare differences in the climatological characteristics in response to climate change in arid and humid areas. Based on the CN05.1 reanalysis gridded dataset (high-resolution climate model validation launched by China Meteorological Administration) and output from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), the projected responses of temperature and precipitation to climate change under three representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) in the arid basin (the Tarim River Basin, the TRB) and the humid basin (the Yangtze River Basin, the YRB) were characterized. Our results show that the swings of annual temperature and precipitation will extend with the rising emission scenarios in the future, while those are more vulnerable in the TRB. The topography-related changes of temperature and precipitation were further evaluated to explore the uncertainty. The elevation-dependent warming (EDW) may be weakened but still hold in the future at the watershed scale. Change in precipitation will decrease with increase in elevation in the TRB, while it will increase in the YRB. Compared with the general growth in seasonal temperature, precipitation shows more striking changes during spring and winter under climate change. Further researches to improve our understanding of the projected changes in temperature and precipitation are needed for better prediction of extreme weather conditions, such as drought and floods.
英文关键词	Climate change CMIP5 The Tarim River The Yangtze River Temperature Precipitation
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Peoples R China
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000467151000024
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; YANGTZE-RIVER ; MONSOON PRECIPITATION ; FUTURE PRECIPITATION ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; CHINA ; EXTREMES ; REGION ; ELEVATION ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构	河海大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/219082
作者单位	1.Hohai Univ, Hydrol & Water Resources Coll, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Hohai Univ, Wentian Coll, Maanshan 243000, Peoples R China; 3.Tarim River Basin Adm, Korla 841000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhu, Boli,Xue, Lianqing,Wei, Guanghui,et al. CMIP5 projected changes in temperature and precipitation in arid and humid basins[J]. 河海大学,2019,136(3-4):1133-1144.
APA	Zhu, Boli,Xue, Lianqing,Wei, Guanghui,Zhang, Luocheng,&Chen, Xinfang.(2019).CMIP5 projected changes in temperature and precipitation in arid and humid basins.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,136(3-4),1133-1144.
MLA	Zhu, Boli,et al."CMIP5 projected changes in temperature and precipitation in arid and humid basins".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 136.3-4(2019):1133-1144.