Arid
DOI10.1007/s11625-018-0646-2
Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes
Tenza, Alicia1,2; Martinez-Fernandez, Julia3; Perez-Ibarra, Irene4; Gimenez, Andres1
通讯作者Tenza, Alicia
来源期刊SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE
ISSN1862-4065
EISSN1862-4057
出版年2019
卷号14期号:3页码:791-807
英文摘要The sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems (SESs) in drylands is challenged by external socio-economic and environmental drivers of change that interact both with one another and with endogenous drivers unexpectedly and in complex ways. Understanding the way large-scale changes interact with endogenous drivers and affect the sustainability of drylands is, thus, crucial for policy insights that aim to foster the stewardship of drylands in desirable states. By the system dynamics approach, we developed a dynamic simulation model to: (1) quantitatively analyse the relative weight of each driver type on the local dynamics of the SES of the oasis of Comondu (Baja California Sur, Mexico), which has witnessed sharp depopulation in recent decades; (2) identify and quantify cross-scale interactions; (3) discuss the local sustainability implications. Based on local knowledge, our model successfully simulated the SES' historical behaviour. Our simulation showed that external drivers linked to global drivers, especially climatic drivers, have markedly influenced the local dynamics. However, endogenous factors (e.g. local economy, employment) have proven relevant in shaping this SES' sustainability outcomes. The reinforcing relationship between the effects of the variability of rainfall and the volatility of market prices warns about the system's vulnerability to a double exposure: climate change and globalisation. Our study demonstrates the suitability of dynamic simulation models to address key issues for sustainability science, like studying the long-term dynamics of SESs, interactions between regions, and place-based and problem-oriented approaches to solve real-world problems.
英文关键词Cross-scale interactions Drivers of change Dynamic model Oasis System dynamics Vulnerability
类型Article
语种英语
国家Spain ; Mexico ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000466962000016
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DOUBLE-EXPOSURE ; VULNERABILITY ; UNCERTAINTY ; COLLAPSE ; STRATEGY ; IMPACTS ; SOCIETY
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/219026
作者单位1.Univ Miguel Hernandez, Dept Biol Aplicada Ecol, Alicante 03202, Spain;
2.Ctr Invest Biol Noroeste CIBNOR, La Paz 23096, Bcs, Mexico;
3.Fdn Nueva Cultura Agua, Pedro Cerbuna 12, Zaragoza 50009, Spain;
4.Columbia Univ, Sch Social Work, 622 W 113th St, New York, NY 10027 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tenza, Alicia,Martinez-Fernandez, Julia,Perez-Ibarra, Irene,et al. Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes[J],2019,14(3):791-807.
APA Tenza, Alicia,Martinez-Fernandez, Julia,Perez-Ibarra, Irene,&Gimenez, Andres.(2019).Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes.SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE,14(3),791-807.
MLA Tenza, Alicia,et al."Sustainability of small-scale social-ecological systems in arid environments: trade-off and synergies of global and regional changes".SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE 14.3(2019):791-807.
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