干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region

Arid

DOI	10.1038/s41598-018-37851-6
	Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region
	Soultan, Alaaeldin 1,2; Wikelski, Martin 1,2; Safi, Kamran 1,2
通讯作者	Soultan, Alaaeldin
来源期刊	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN	2045-2322
出版年	2019
卷号	9
英文摘要	For 107 endemic mammal species in the Afro-Arabian region, Sahara-Sahel and Arabian Desert, we used ensemble species distribution models to: (1) identify the hotspot areas for conservation, (2) assess the potential impact of the projected climate change on the distribution of the focal species, and (3) assign IUCN threat categories for the focal species according to the predicted changes in their potential distribution range. We identified two main hotspot areas for endemic mammals: the Sinai and its surrounding coastal area in the East, and the Mediterranean Coast around Morocco in the West. Alarmingly, our results indicate that about 17% of the endemic mammals in the AfroArabian region under the current climate change scenarios could go extinct before 2050. Overall, a substantial number of the endemic species will change from the IUCN threat category Least Concern to Critically Endangered or Extinct in the coming decades. Accordingly, we call for implementing an urgent proactive conservation action for these endemic species, particularly those that face a high risk of extinction in the next few years. The results of our study provide conservation managers and practitioners with the required information for implementing an effective conservation plan to protect the biodiversity of the Afro-Arabian region.
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Germany
开放获取类型	Green Published, gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000457128700032
WOS关键词	SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS ; PROTECTED AREA NETWORK ; SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS ; MEDITERRANEAN BASIN ; DIVERSITY PATTERNS ; WOODRATS NEOTOMA ; AFRICAN MAMMALS ; BETA DIVERSITY ; CONSERVATION
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/218747
作者单位	1.Max Planck Inst Ornithol, Dept Migrat & Immunoecol, Obstberg 1, D-78315 Radolfzell am Bodensee, Germany; 2.Univ Konstanz, Dept Biol, Univ Str 10, D-78464 Constance, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Soultan, Alaaeldin,Wikelski, Martin,Safi, Kamran. Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region[J],2019,9.
APA	Soultan, Alaaeldin,Wikelski, Martin,&Safi, Kamran.(2019).Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,9.
MLA	Soultan, Alaaeldin,et al."Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 9(2019).