干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.462
	Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran
	Mafi-Gholami, Davood 1; Zenner, Eric K.2; Jaafari, Abolfazl 3; Ward, Raymond D.4,5
通讯作者	Mafi-Gholami, Davood
来源期刊	SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN	0048-9697
EISSN	1879-1026
出版年	2019
卷号	656 页码:1326-1336
英文摘要	Leaf Area Index (LAI, as an indiator of the health) of the mangrove ecosystems on the northern coasts of the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman was measured in the field and modeled in response to observed (1986-2017) and predicted (2018-2100) drought occurrences (quantified using the Standardized Precipitation Index [Sil]). The relationship of LAI with the normalized difference vegetation index (NINO obtained from satellite images was quantified, the LA! between 1986 and 2017 retrospectively estimated, and a relationship between lAl and SPI developed for the same period. Long-term climate data were used as input in the RCP8.5 climate change scenario to reconstruct I ecent and forecast future drought intensities. Both the NEVI and the SPI were strongly related with the LAI, indicating that realistic LAI values were derived from historic satellite data to portray annual changes of LAI in response to changes in SPI. Our findings show that projected future drought intensities modeled by the RCP8.5 scenario increase more and future LAIs decreased more on the coasts of the Gulf of Oman than the coasts of the Persian Gulf in the coming decades. The year 1998 was the most significant change-point for mean annual rainfall amounts and thought occurrences as well as for lAls and at no time between 1998 and 2017 or between 2018 and 2100 are SP! and values expected to return to pre-1998 values. and SPI are projected W decline sharply around 2030, reach their lowest levels between 2040 and 2070, and increase and stabilize during the late decades of the 21st century at values similar to the present time. Overall, this study provides a comprehensive picture of the responses of mangroves to fluctuating future drought conditions, facilitating the development of management plans for these vulnerable habitats in the face of future climate change. Crown Copyright (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Mangroves Health Drought LAI RCP8.5 Persian Gulf Gulf of Oman
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Iran ; USA ; England ; Estonia
开放获取类型	Green Submitted
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000455039600126
WOS关键词	SEA-LEVEL RISE ; RHIZOPHORA-STYLOSA ; AVICENNIA-MARINA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FORESTS ; GULF ; PROJECTIONS ; ECOSYSTEMS ; WETLANDS ; PATTERNS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/218641
作者单位	1.Shaherkord Univ, Fac Nat Resources & Earth Sci, Dept Forest Sci, Shaherkord, Iran; 2.Penn State Univ, Dept Ecosyst Sci & Management, Forest Resources Bldg, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 3.Islamic Azad Univ, Karaj Branch, Young Researchers & Elite Club, Karaj, Iran; 4.Univ Brighton, Ctr Aquat Environm, Sch Environm & Technol, Cockcroft Bldg, Brighton BN2 4GJ, E Sussex, England; 5.Estonian Univ Life Sci, Inst Agr & Environm Sci, Kreutzwaldi 5, EE-51014 Tartu, Estonia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mafi-Gholami, Davood,Zenner, Eric K.,Jaafari, Abolfazl,et al. Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran[J],2019,656:1326-1336.
APA	Mafi-Gholami, Davood,Zenner, Eric K.,Jaafari, Abolfazl,&Ward, Raymond D..(2019).Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,656,1326-1336.
MLA	Mafi-Gholami, Davood,et al."Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 656(2019):1326-1336.