干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Implications of climate change for semi-arid dualistic agriculture: a case study in Central Chile

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DOI	10.1007/s10113-018-1380-0
	Implications of climate change for semi-arid dualistic agriculture: a case study in Central Chile
	Fernandez, Francisco J.1,2; Blanco, Maria 1; Ponce, Roberto D.3; Vasquez-Lavin, Felipe 3,4; Roco, Lisandro 5,6
通讯作者	Fernandez, Francisco J.
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
出版年	2019
卷号	19 期号:1 页码:89-100
英文摘要	The nexus between climate change, agriculture, and poverty has become a major topic of concern, especially for dry regions, which represent a large share of the world's population and ecosystems vulnerable to climate change. In spite of this, to date, few studies have examined the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the adaptation strategies of vulnerable farmers from emerging semi-arid regions with dualist agriculture, in which subsistence farms coexist with commercial farms. This study aims to assess the micro-level impact of climate change and the farm household adaptation strategies in a semi-arid region in Central Chile. To this end, we develop a modelling framework that allows for (1) the assessment of farm-household responses to both climate change effects and adaptation policy scenarios and (2) the identification of local capacities and adaptation strategies. Aggregated results indicate that climate change has a substantial economic impact on regional agricultural income, while the micro-level analysis shows that small-scale farm households are the most vulnerable group. We observe that household characteristics determine to a large extent the adaptation capacity, while an unexpected result indicates that off-farm labour emerges as a powerful option for adapting to climate change. As such, our approach is well suited for ex ante micro-level adaptation analysis and can thereby provide useful insights to guide smart climate policy-making.
英文关键词	Adaptation Climate change Dualistic agriculture Farm household heterogeneity Semi-arid regions
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Spain ; Chile
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000457941000008
WOS关键词	CHANGE IMPACTS ; ECONOMIC-IMPACTS ; ADAPTATION ; WATER ; VULNERABILITY ; VARIABILITY ; STRATEGIES ; SCENARIOS ; FRAMEWORK ; SECURITY
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/218316
作者单位	1.Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSIAAB, Dept Agr Econ, Madrid, Spain; 2.Univ Mayor, Fac Sci, Sch Agron, Santiago, Chile; 3.Univ Desarrollo CONICYT FONDAP, Sch Business & Econ, Concepcion 15130015, Chile; 4.CESIEP, Millennium Nucleus Ctr Socioecon Impact Environm, Santiago, Chile; 5.Univ Catolica Norte, Dept Econ, Av Angamos 610, Antofagasta 1240000, Chile; 6.Univ Catolica Norte, Inst Appl Reg Econ IDEAR, Av Angamos 610, Antofagasta 1240000, Chile
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fernandez, Francisco J.,Blanco, Maria,Ponce, Roberto D.,et al. Implications of climate change for semi-arid dualistic agriculture: a case study in Central Chile[J],2019,19(1):89-100.
APA	Fernandez, Francisco J.,Blanco, Maria,Ponce, Roberto D.,Vasquez-Lavin, Felipe,&Roco, Lisandro.(2019).Implications of climate change for semi-arid dualistic agriculture: a case study in Central Chile.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,19(1),89-100.
MLA	Fernandez, Francisco J.,et al."Implications of climate change for semi-arid dualistic agriculture: a case study in Central Chile".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 19.1(2019):89-100.