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DOI	10.1002/qj.3432
	Precipitation characteristic changes due to global warming in a high-resolution (16 km) ECMWF simulation
	Feng, Xuelei 1,2; Liu, Chuntao 3; Xie, Feiqin 3; Lu, Jian 4; Chiu, Long S.5; Tintera, George 6; Chen, Baohua 6
通讯作者	Feng, Xuelei
来源期刊	QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
ISSN	0035-9009
EISSN	1477-870X
出版年	2019
卷号	145 期号:718 页码:303-317
英文摘要	Changes in precipitation amount, intensity and frequency in response to global warming are examined using global high-resolution (16 km) climate model simulations based on the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecast System (IFS) conducted under Project Athena. Our study shows the increases of zonal-mean total precipitation in all latitudes except the northern subtropics (15 degrees-30 degrees N) and southern subtropics-to-midlatitudes (30 degrees-40 degrees S). The probability distribution function (PDF) changes in different latitudes suggest a higher occurrence of light precipitation (LP; 1 mm/day) and heavy precipitation (HP; 30 mm/day) at the expense of moderate precipitation reduction (MP; 1-30 mm/day) from Tropics to midlatitudes, but an increase in all categories of precipitation in polar regions. On the other hand, the PDF change with global warming in different precipitation climatological zones presents another image. For all regions and seasons examined, there is an HP increase at the cost of MP, but LP varies. The reduced MP in richer precipitation zones resides in the PDF peak intensities, which linearly increase with the precipitation climatology zones. In particular in the Tropics (20 degrees S to 20 degrees N), the precipitation PDF has a flatter distribution (i.e. HP and LP increases with MP reduction) except for the Sahara Desert. In the primary precipitation zones in the subtropics (20 degrees-40 degrees) of both hemispheres, precipitation over land switches toward higher intensity (HP increases, but MP and LP decrease) in both winter and summer, while precipitation over ocean in both seasons shows a flattening trend in the intensity distribution. For the major precipitation zones of the mid-to-high latitude belt (40 degrees-70 degrees), PDF of precipitation tends to be flatter over ocean in summer, but switches toward higher intensities over land in both summer and winter, as well as over ocean in winter.
英文关键词	climatological zone climatology global warming high-resolution ECMWF model precipitation characteristics probability density function
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	South Korea ; USA
开放获取类型	Green Published, hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000459863300022
WOS关键词	TROPICAL RAINFALL ; INTENSE PRECIPITATION ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; CLIMATE SYSTEM ; PROJECT ATHENA ; MODEL ; SCHEME ; PARAMETERIZATION ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/218203
作者单位	1.Inst Basic Sci, Ctr Climate Phys, 11th Fl,Room 1106,Tonghapgigyegwan Bldg, Busan 46241, South Korea; 2.Pusan Natl Univ, Busan, South Korea; 3.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Phys & Environm Sci, Corpus Christi, TX USA; 4.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Richland, WA 99352 USA; 5.George Mason Univ, Dept Atmospher Ocean & Earth Sci, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA; 6.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Corpus Christi, TX USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Feng, Xuelei,Liu, Chuntao,Xie, Feiqin,et al. Precipitation characteristic changes due to global warming in a high-resolution (16 km) ECMWF simulation[J],2019,145(718):303-317.
APA	Feng, Xuelei.,Liu, Chuntao.,Xie, Feiqin.,Lu, Jian.,Chiu, Long S..,...&Chen, Baohua.(2019).Precipitation characteristic changes due to global warming in a high-resolution (16 km) ECMWF simulation.QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY,145(718),303-317.
MLA	Feng, Xuelei,et al."Precipitation characteristic changes due to global warming in a high-resolution (16 km) ECMWF simulation".QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 145.718(2019):303-317.