Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.7717/peerj.7409 |
Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth | |
Duarte, Milen1,2; Guerrero, Pablo C.3; Arroyo, Mary T. K.1,2; Bustarnante, Ramiro O.1,2 | |
通讯作者 | Duarte, Milen |
来源期刊 | PEERJ
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ISSN | 2167-8359 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 7 |
英文摘要 | Background and Aims: Global climate change is a major threat to biodiversity worldwide. Several arid areas might expand in the future, but it is not clear if this change would be positive or negative for arid-adapted lineages. Here, we explore whether climatic niche properties are involved in the configuration of climate refugia and thus in future species trends. Methods: To estimate putative climate refugia and potential expansion areas, we used maximum entropy models and four climate-change models to generate current and future potential distributions of 142 plant species endemic to the Atacama and mediterranean Chilean ecosystems. We assessed the relationship between the similarity and breadth of thermal and precipitation niches with the size of climate refugia and areas of potential expansions. Key Results: We found a positive relationship between breadth and similarity for thermal niche with the size of climate refugia, but only niche similarity of the thermal niche was positively related with the size of expansion areas. Although all lineages would reduce their distributions in the future, few species are predicted to be at risk of extinction in their current distribution, and all of them presented potential expansion areas. Conclusion: Species with a broad niche and niche dissimilarity will have larger refugia, and species with niche dissimilarity will have larger expansion areas. In addition, our prediction for arid lineages shows that these species will be moderately affected by climate change. |
英文关键词 | Refugia Expansion area Malesherbia Chaetanthera Leucocoryne Nolana Eriosyce Schizanthus |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Chile |
开放获取类型 | gold, Green Submitted, Green Published |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000485214200001 |
WOS关键词 | CHANGE IMPACTS ; ENDEMIC CACTI ; PLANT ; DESERT ; CONSERVATION ; EXTINCTION ; INSIGHTS ; MODELS ; SHIFTS ; PRECIPITATION |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/217918 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chile, Dept Ciencias Ecol, Santiago, Chile; 2.IEB, Santiago, Chile; 3.Univ Concepcion, Fac Ciencias Nat & Oceanog, Dept Bot, Concepcion, Chile |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duarte, Milen,Guerrero, Pablo C.,Arroyo, Mary T. K.,et al. Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth[J],2019,7. |
APA | Duarte, Milen,Guerrero, Pablo C.,Arroyo, Mary T. K.,&Bustarnante, Ramiro O..(2019).Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth.PEERJ,7. |
MLA | Duarte, Milen,et al."Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth".PEERJ 7(2019). |
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