Arid
DOI10.7717/peerj.7409
Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth
Duarte, Milen1,2; Guerrero, Pablo C.3; Arroyo, Mary T. K.1,2; Bustarnante, Ramiro O.1,2
通讯作者Duarte, Milen
来源期刊PEERJ
ISSN2167-8359
出版年2019
卷号7
英文摘要Background and Aims: Global climate change is a major threat to biodiversity worldwide. Several arid areas might expand in the future, but it is not clear if this change would be positive or negative for arid-adapted lineages. Here, we explore whether climatic niche properties are involved in the configuration of climate refugia and thus in future species trends. Methods: To estimate putative climate refugia and potential expansion areas, we used maximum entropy models and four climate-change models to generate current and future potential distributions of 142 plant species endemic to the Atacama and mediterranean Chilean ecosystems. We assessed the relationship between the similarity and breadth of thermal and precipitation niches with the size of climate refugia and areas of potential expansions. Key Results: We found a positive relationship between breadth and similarity for thermal niche with the size of climate refugia, but only niche similarity of the thermal niche was positively related with the size of expansion areas. Although all lineages would reduce their distributions in the future, few species are predicted to be at risk of extinction in their current distribution, and all of them presented potential expansion areas. Conclusion: Species with a broad niche and niche dissimilarity will have larger refugia, and species with niche dissimilarity will have larger expansion areas. In addition, our prediction for arid lineages shows that these species will be moderately affected by climate change.
英文关键词Refugia Expansion area Malesherbia Chaetanthera Leucocoryne Nolana Eriosyce Schizanthus
类型Article
语种英语
国家Chile
开放获取类型gold, Green Submitted, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000485214200001
WOS关键词CHANGE IMPACTS ; ENDEMIC CACTI ; PLANT ; DESERT ; CONSERVATION ; EXTINCTION ; INSIGHTS ; MODELS ; SHIFTS ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/217918
作者单位1.Univ Chile, Dept Ciencias Ecol, Santiago, Chile;
2.IEB, Santiago, Chile;
3.Univ Concepcion, Fac Ciencias Nat & Oceanog, Dept Bot, Concepcion, Chile
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Duarte, Milen,Guerrero, Pablo C.,Arroyo, Mary T. K.,et al. Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth[J],2019,7.
APA Duarte, Milen,Guerrero, Pablo C.,Arroyo, Mary T. K.,&Bustarnante, Ramiro O..(2019).Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth.PEERJ,7.
MLA Duarte, Milen,et al."Niches and climate-change refugia in hundreds of species from one of the most arid places on Earth".PEERJ 7(2019).
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