干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.06.068
	Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling
	Danesh-Yazdi, Mohammad 1; Ataie-Ashtiani, Behzad 1,2,3
通讯作者	Danesh-Yazdi, Mohammad
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN	0022-1694
EISSN	1879-2707
出版年	2019
卷号	576 页码:639-651
英文摘要	Losing eight meters of water level over a 20-year period from 1996 to 2016 marked the Lake Urmia (LU) as one of the regional environmental crises. This condition has threatened biota life, intensified desertification around the lake, and raised social concerns by adversely impacting the inhabitants' health and economy. In 2013, the Urmia Lake Restoration National Committee (ULRNC) started implementing certain management practices to stop the drying trend of LU, resulted in the cease of water level drop and stabilization of LU condition in 2016. Nevertheless, the restoration actions have not yet raised the lake to the water level as planned by the roadmap. This paper aims to describe and to assess the LU restoration plans by underscoring the ULRNC achievements, challenges, and shortcomings. In particular, we discuss how the value of data and data-aided modeling has been underestimated by the LU restoration programs, leading to still existing puzzles about the lake interaction with the involving physical processes governing its dynamics. We show how the LU restoration timetable has not fulfilled the planned milestones as evidenced by the inability to capture the anticipated lake water levels, which is partly attributed to the lack of field data and dynamic modeling that could predict the lake response in a more reliable and conservative manner. The current restoration plans should also be revisited to ensure that any practice with the aim of reducing water consumption in the basin is not only environmentally sustainable but also feasible from the socioeconomic perspective. The insights provided by this paper attempt to underscore the value of field data collection for establishing a reliable conceptual model, and for executing pre- and post-monitoring of the lake so that the success or failure of the restoration actions taken by the policymakers can be appropriately evaluated.
英文关键词	Lake Urmia Restoration Data-driven modeling Environmental sustainability Socioeconomic
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Iran ; Australia
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000486092200051
WOS关键词	ANTHROPOGENIC IMPACTS ; RUNOFF GENERATION ; SALINITY REGIMES ; HYPERSALINE LAKE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WATER-LEVEL ; ARAL SEA ; IRAN ; SWAT ; OPTIMIZATION
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/217176
作者单位	1.Sharif Univ Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Tehran, Iran; 2.Flinders Univ S Australia, Natl Ctr Groundwater Res & Training, GPO Box 2100, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia; 3.Flinders Univ S Australia, Coll Sci & Engn, GPO Box 2100, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Danesh-Yazdi, Mohammad,Ataie-Ashtiani, Behzad. Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling[J],2019,576:639-651.
APA	Danesh-Yazdi, Mohammad,&Ataie-Ashtiani, Behzad.(2019).Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,576,639-651.
MLA	Danesh-Yazdi, Mohammad,et al."Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 576(2019):639-651.