Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.070
Impact of urbanization on nonstationarity of annual and seasonal precipitation extremes in China
Gu, Xihui1,5; Zhang, Qiang2,3,4; Li, Jianfeng5; Singh, Vijay P.6,7; Sun, Peng8
通讯作者Zhang, Qiang
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2019
卷号575页码:638-655
英文摘要Chinese cities have been experiencing unprecedented growth for over three decades and the resulting urbanization is having a remarkable impact on the hydrological cycle at the local and regional scale. This study therefore examined the influence of urbanization on nonstationarity of annual and seasonal precipitation extremes in China, using daily precipitation data from 1857 stations for 1961-2014, and NCAR/NCEP and ERA Interim reanalysis datasets. Results of trend, change point, and bootstrap analyses revealed that urban signatures on long-term changes (i.e. trends and magnitudes) of precipitation extremes were not prominently visible at the national scale. However, a nonstationary frequency analysis of precipitation extremes by a Generalized Additive Model for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) framework with a cluster of 66 models showed that urbanization caused nonstationarity in precipitation extremes at local and regional scales, such as North China. Further, significant nonstationarity tended to occur more in urbanizing areas than in rural and urbanized areas, suggesting that land use/land cover (LULC) transition (i.e. rural areas turning into urban areas) played an important role in introducing nonstationarity. Furthermore, analysis of large-scale circulation patterns, using k-mean clustering, showed that urban signatures on extremes were not prominent at the national scale but at the regional scale. Further studies are needed to enumerate physical mechanisms causing the impact of local environmental changes on precipitation extremes at different geographical locations over China.
英文关键词Urbanization Precipitation extremes Long-term changes Nonstationarity GAMLSS China
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000488143000050
WOS关键词FLOOD FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; SPATIOTEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; CHANGING PROPERTIES ; ARID REGION ; RAINFALL ; TEMPERATURE ; PATTERNS
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构北京师范大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/217164
作者单位1.China Univ Geosci, Sch Environm Studies, Dept Atmospher Sci, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China;
2.Beijing Normal Univ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Minist Educ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
3.Beijing Normal Univ, Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
4.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
5.Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Hong Kong, Peoples R China;
6.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX USA;
7.Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil Engn, College Stn, TX USA;
8.Anhui Normal Univ, Coll Terr Resources & Tourism, Wuhu 241000, Anhui, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gu, Xihui,Zhang, Qiang,Li, Jianfeng,et al. Impact of urbanization on nonstationarity of annual and seasonal precipitation extremes in China[J]. 北京师范大学,2019,575:638-655.
APA Gu, Xihui,Zhang, Qiang,Li, Jianfeng,Singh, Vijay P.,&Sun, Peng.(2019).Impact of urbanization on nonstationarity of annual and seasonal precipitation extremes in China.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,575,638-655.
MLA Gu, Xihui,et al."Impact of urbanization on nonstationarity of annual and seasonal precipitation extremes in China".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 575(2019):638-655.
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