干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11442-019-1582-5
	Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario
	Ma Danyang 1,2,3; Deng Haoyu 1,2; Yin Yunhe 1; Wu Shaohong 1,2; Zheng Du 1,2
通讯作者	Yin Yunhe
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN	1009-637X
EISSN	1861-9568
出版年	2019
卷号	29 期号:1 页码:29-48
英文摘要	Changes in regional moisture patterns under the impact of climate change are an important focus for science. Based on the five global climate models (GCMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), this paper projects trends in the area of arid/humid climate regions of China over the next 100 years. It also identifies the regions of arid/humid patterns change and analyzes their temperature sensitivity of responses. Results show that future change will be characterized by a significant contraction in the humid region and an expansion of arid/humid transition zones. In particular, the sub-humid region will expand by 28.69% in the long term (2070-2099) relative to the baseline period (1981-2010). Under 2 degrees C and 4 degrees C warming, the area of the arid/humid transition zones is projected to increase from 10.17% to 13.72% of the total of China. The humid region south of the Huaihe River Basin, which is affected mainly by a future increase in evapotranspiration, will retreat southward and change to a sub-humid region. In general, the sensitivity of responses of arid/humid patterns to climate change in China will intensify with accelerating global warming.
英文关键词	arid humid patterns climate change sensitivity aridity index China
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Peoples R China
开放获取类型	Bronze
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000455152500002
WOS关键词	DRY-WET CLIMATE ; HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHTS ; DEGREES-C ; CMIP5 ; SHIFTS ; PROJECTIONS ; MULTIMODEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; SIMULATIONS ; IMPACTS
WOS类目	Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography
来源机构	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/217038
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 3.Henan Prov Dev & Reform Commiss, Zhengzhou 450018, Henan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,et al. Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2019,29(1):29-48.
APA	Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,Wu Shaohong,&Zheng Du.(2019).Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,29(1),29-48.
MLA	Ma Danyang,et al."Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 29.1(2019):29-48.