Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0001.1 |
A Significant Bias of T-max and T-min Average Temperature and Its Trend | |
Liu, Yulian1,2; Ren, Guoyu1,3; Kang, Engyuan4; Sun, Xiubao3 | |
通讯作者 | Ren, Guoyu |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 1558-8424 |
EISSN | 1558-8432 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 58期号:10页码:2235-2246 |
英文摘要 | The systematic bias of the estimated average temperature using daily T-max and T-min records relative to the standard average temperature of four time-equidistant observations and its effect on the estimated trend of long-term temperature change have not been well understood. This paper attempts to evaluate the systematic bias across mainland China using the daily data of national observational stations. The results revealed that the positive bias of annual mean temperature was large, reaching 0.58 degrees C nationally on average; regional average bias was lowest in the northwest arid region and highest in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau; the bias was low in spring and summer and high in autumn and winter, reaching its lowest point in mid- and late May and highest point in early November. Furthermore, the bias showed a significant upward trend in the past 50 years, with a rising rate of 0.021 degrees C (10 yr)(-1), accounting for about 12% of the overall warming as estimated from the data of the observational network; the largest positive trend bias was found in the northwest arid region, while the east monsoon region experienced the smallest change; the most remarkable increase of the bias occurred after early 1990s. These results indicate that the customarily applied method to calculate daily and monthly mean temperature using T-max and T-min significantly overestimates the climatological mean and the long-term trend of surface air temperature in mainland China. |
英文关键词 | Climate change Climate variability Surface temperature Data processing Bias Trends |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000489758800001 |
WOS关键词 | MAINLAND CHINA ; SURFACE ; INDEXES ; SERIES |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/216685 |
作者单位 | 1.China Univ Geosci, Sch Environm Sci, Dept Atmospher Sci, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China; 2.Heilongjiang Climate Ctr, Harbin, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China; 3.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Harbin Meteorol Bur, Harbin, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Yulian,Ren, Guoyu,Kang, Engyuan,et al. A Significant Bias of T-max and T-min Average Temperature and Its Trend[J],2019,58(10):2235-2246. |
APA | Liu, Yulian,Ren, Guoyu,Kang, Engyuan,&Sun, Xiubao.(2019).A Significant Bias of T-max and T-min Average Temperature and Its Trend.JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,58(10),2235-2246. |
MLA | Liu, Yulian,et al."A Significant Bias of T-max and T-min Average Temperature and Its Trend".JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY 58.10(2019):2235-2246. |
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