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Arid

DOI	10.1007/s41742-018-0151-6
	How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience
	Sayyadi, Fatemeh 1; Moghaddasi, Reza 1; Yazdani, Saeed 2
通讯作者	Moghaddasi, Reza
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ISSN	1735-6865
EISSN	2008-2304
出版年	2019
卷号	13 期号:1 页码:67-75
英文摘要	Climate change is exacerbating the challenges faced by the agriculture sector especially in arid and semi-arid regions. Climate change-induced increases in temperature, rainfall variation (both spatial and time) and the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are adding to pressure on the global agriculture systemwhich is already struggling to respond to the rising demands of the growing population for food. This paper specifies a spatial econometric model to determine the major drivers of land use change, with emphasis on climate variables, in three bordering provinces of Iran during 2004-2016. Results indicate that changes in the usage of land and adaptation to climate change occur through time, but these changes have a major locative dependence on the nearby areas. In most of the regions under study, the increase in temperature exerts negative impacts on the proportion of lands devoted to grass and agriculture. Cropland value and farmer income have indirect and direct impact on the share of agricultural lands, respectively. Land slope is also indirectly related to urban and agricultural land allocation. Provision of more supports to farmers through direct payment and price support policies aiming at preserving of agricultural lands is recommended. Article HighlightsA spatial multinomial logit model is used to identify drivers of land use change (with emphasis on climate variables) in Iran.Changes in usage of land and adaptation to climate change occur through time and these changes have a major locative dependency on the nearby areas.Designing supportive policies to mitigate adverse effects of climate change on agriculture is recommended.
英文关键词	Climate change Land use Spatial econometrics Iran
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Iran
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000455920500007
WOS关键词	WATER AVAILABILITY ; IMPACTS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/216414
作者单位	1.Islamic Azad Univ, Sci & Res Branch, Agr Econ Dept, Coll Agr & Food Sci, Tehran, Iran; 2.Univ Tehran, Agr Econ Dept, Karaj, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sayyadi, Fatemeh,Moghaddasi, Reza,Yazdani, Saeed. How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience[J],2019,13(1):67-75.
APA	Sayyadi, Fatemeh,Moghaddasi, Reza,&Yazdani, Saeed.(2019).How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,13(1),67-75.
MLA	Sayyadi, Fatemeh,et al."How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 13.1(2019):67-75.