Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00584 |
Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change | |
Dew, Rebecca M.1; Silva, Daniel Paiva2; Rehan, Sandra M.1 | |
通讯作者 | Silva, Daniel Paiva |
来源期刊 | GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION
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ISSN | 2351-9894 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 17 |
英文摘要 | Climate change is a key threat to pollination networks and has already caused shifts in the distribution and phenology of many bee species. Predictions based on species distribution models forecast that most bee species will continue to decline as climate change progresses, the few exceptions to this being common, widespread species with large dispersal capabilities. Most of the bees studied so far are temperate or tropical species but many ecosystems are predicted to experience increased aridification under climate change. Therefore, we need to understand how pollinator species are likely to respond. Here we present species distribution models for the arid-adapted Australian small carpenter bee, Ceratina australensis Perkins, 1912 (Apidae: Xylocopinae) under Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) climate change conditions predicted for 2070 (Representative Carbon Pathway 8.5). We applied Maximum Entropy, Generalized Linear Models, Generalized Additive Models and Random Forest methods. Overall, our models predict that this bee will have an increased area of suitable habitat as climate change progresses, including an increased range within protected areas. However, its potential range will shift further into coastal areas, that are highly human populated and urbanised. Our results suggest that wild bee taxa may be able to cope with the predicted scale of future aridification under climate change. Finally, this species is predicted to increase in urban environments, which highlights the need for city planning, suitable habitats and green spaces to support wild bee species. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. |
英文关键词 | Climate change Species distribution modelling Pollinator Wild bee Arid zone Ceratina |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA ; Brazil |
开放获取类型 | gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000465448800065 |
WOS关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; SMALL CARPENTER BEES ; POLLINATION SERVICES ; LAND-USE ; SHIFTS ; DIVERSIFICATION ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; HYMENOPTERA ; STRATEGIES ; RESPONSES |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/216101 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ New Hampshire, Dept Biol Sci, Durham, NH 03824 USA; 2.Inst Fed Goiano, Dept Ciencias Biol, Urutai, Go, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dew, Rebecca M.,Silva, Daniel Paiva,Rehan, Sandra M.. Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change[J],2019,17. |
APA | Dew, Rebecca M.,Silva, Daniel Paiva,&Rehan, Sandra M..(2019).Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change.GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION,17. |
MLA | Dew, Rebecca M.,et al."Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change".GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION 17(2019). |
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