Arid
DOI10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00584
Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change
Dew, Rebecca M.1; Silva, Daniel Paiva2; Rehan, Sandra M.1
通讯作者Silva, Daniel Paiva
来源期刊GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION
ISSN2351-9894
出版年2019
卷号17
英文摘要Climate change is a key threat to pollination networks and has already caused shifts in the distribution and phenology of many bee species. Predictions based on species distribution models forecast that most bee species will continue to decline as climate change progresses, the few exceptions to this being common, widespread species with large dispersal capabilities. Most of the bees studied so far are temperate or tropical species but many ecosystems are predicted to experience increased aridification under climate change. Therefore, we need to understand how pollinator species are likely to respond. Here we present species distribution models for the arid-adapted Australian small carpenter bee, Ceratina australensis Perkins, 1912 (Apidae: Xylocopinae) under Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) climate change conditions predicted for 2070 (Representative Carbon Pathway 8.5). We applied Maximum Entropy, Generalized Linear Models, Generalized Additive Models and Random Forest methods. Overall, our models predict that this bee will have an increased area of suitable habitat as climate change progresses, including an increased range within protected areas. However, its potential range will shift further into coastal areas, that are highly human populated and urbanised. Our results suggest that wild bee taxa may be able to cope with the predicted scale of future aridification under climate change. Finally, this species is predicted to increase in urban environments, which highlights the need for city planning, suitable habitats and green spaces to support wild bee species. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词Climate change Species distribution modelling Pollinator Wild bee Arid zone Ceratina
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; Brazil
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000465448800065
WOS关键词SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; SMALL CARPENTER BEES ; POLLINATION SERVICES ; LAND-USE ; SHIFTS ; DIVERSIFICATION ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; HYMENOPTERA ; STRATEGIES ; RESPONSES
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/216101
作者单位1.Univ New Hampshire, Dept Biol Sci, Durham, NH 03824 USA;
2.Inst Fed Goiano, Dept Ciencias Biol, Urutai, Go, Brazil
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dew, Rebecca M.,Silva, Daniel Paiva,Rehan, Sandra M.. Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change[J],2019,17.
APA Dew, Rebecca M.,Silva, Daniel Paiva,&Rehan, Sandra M..(2019).Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change.GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION,17.
MLA Dew, Rebecca M.,et al."Range expansion of an already widespread bee under climate change".GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION 17(2019).
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