干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives

Arid

DOI	10.1002/ecs2.2730
	Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives
	Jarnevich, Catherine S.1; Thomas, Catherine Cullinane 1; Young, Nicholas E.2; Backer, Dana 3,6; Cline, Sarah 4,7; Frid, Leonardo 5; Grissom, Perry 3
通讯作者	Jarnevich, Catherine S.
来源期刊	ECOSPHERE
ISSN	2150-8925
出版年	2019
卷号	10 期号:5
英文摘要	Invasive species can alter ecosystem properties and cause state shifts in landscapes. Resource managers charged with maintaining landscapes require tools to understand implications of alternative actions (or inactions) on landscape structure and function. Simulation models can serve as a virtual laboratory to explore these alternatives and their potential impacts on a landscape. To be useful, however, managers need to participate in model development to ensure that model structure can evaluate the response of key resources to plausible actions. Here, we detail development of a state-and-transition simulation model (STSM) to evaluate buffelgrass (Cenchrus ciliaris L. syn Pennisetum ciliare (L.) Link) in Saguaro National Park (SNP), Arizona, USA, through collaboration between managers and researchers. We integrate expert knowledge and research to create and parameterize a stochastic, spatially explicit STSM to evaluate specific management objectives. We also develop a dynamic link between the STSM and a fire behavior model to allow exploration of potential novel processes introduced to the ecosystem by buffelgrass invasion. Our projections show that buffelgrass can be expected to increase on the landscape and that the integration of fire into the model accelerates the projected rate of invasion and increases degradation of resources of management concern. We highlight the benefit of engaging end users in the modeling process so that the model is targeted to evaluate management objectives, in this case retention of saguaro cacti (Carnegiea gigantea (Engelm.) Britton & Rose) on the landscape. Being able to integrate an external model that can help address the unique characteristics of a problem such as the introduction of fire into the SNP desert ecosystem increases the ability of simulations to address complex ecological and management questions.
英文关键词	buffelgrass FARSITE Saguaro National Park simulation model state-and-transition state-and-transition simulation model ST-Sim SyncroSim
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	USA ; Canada
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000474063600026
WOS关键词	TRANSITION MODELS ; GRASS ; REPRODUCTION ; L.
WOS类目	Ecology
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	United States Geological Survey ; Colorado State University
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/215311
作者单位	1.US Geol Survey, Ft Collins Sci Ctr, 2150 Ctr Ave Bldg C, Ft Collins, CO 80526 USA; 2.Colorado State Univ, Nat Resource Ecol Lab, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; 3.Saguaro Natl Pk, 3693 South Old Spanish Trail, Tucson, AZ 85730 USA; 4.US Dept Interior, Off Policy Anal, 1849 C St Northwest,MS 3530, Washington, DC 20240 USA; 5.Apex Resource Management Solut Ltd, 937 Kingsmere Ave, Ottawa, ON K2A 3K2, Canada; 6.Coronado Natl Forest, Tucson, AZ 85701 USA; 7.USDA, 1400 Independence Ave Southwest, Washington, DC 20250 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jarnevich, Catherine S.,Thomas, Catherine Cullinane,Young, Nicholas E.,et al. Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives[J]. United States Geological Survey, Colorado State University,2019,10(5).
APA	Jarnevich, Catherine S..,Thomas, Catherine Cullinane.,Young, Nicholas E..,Backer, Dana.,Cline, Sarah.,...&Grissom, Perry.(2019).Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives.ECOSPHERE,10(5).
MLA	Jarnevich, Catherine S.,et al."Developing an expert elicited simulation model to evaluate invasive species and fire management alternatives".ECOSPHERE 10.5(2019).