Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-019-04860-8 |
Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets | |
Wei, Yun1; Yu, Haipeng1,2; Huang, Jianping1; Zhou, Tianjun3,4; Zhang, Meng1; Ren, Yu1 | |
通讯作者 | Yu, Haipeng |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
![]() |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 53期号:3-4页码:2375-2389 |
英文摘要 | Drylands are one of the most sensitive areas to climate change. Many previous studies assessed the impact of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming targets using transient warming scenarios by representative concentration pathways of CMIP5. Here we compared the climate changes over global drylands in transient and stabilized 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warmer worlds using Community Earth System Model simulations. The projections indicate a warming of 2.3 degrees C (1.6 degrees C) over drylands could occur in a stabilized 2 degrees C (1.5 degrees C) warmer world by the end of this century. The warming in drier regions is higher and the hyper-arid areas would experience warming of 2.4 degrees C (1.8 degrees C). Comparing the 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C warming targets, the additional 0.5 degrees C warming will lead to similar to 1.0 degrees C warming in drylands of Eurasia and North America. Responding to the 2 degrees C warming, the increased precipitation (21.8-42.6mm/year) is not enough to offset the increased PET (88.3-101.7mm/year) over drylands, resulting in the drylands expansion, and the additional 0.5 degrees C global warming will aggravate the drought in drylands in southern North America and North Africa. Compared to the stabilized 2 degrees C warming target, controlling the global warming to within 1.5 degrees C will reduce the warming in drylands by 0.7 degrees C, and reduce the drylands expansion relative to 1961-1990 by similar to 44%. Compared to the stabilized warming scenarios, the temperature response and drylands area coverage increase are higher in the transient warming scenarios, but the difference of temperature caused by additional 0.5 degrees C global warming and the precipitation increase in drylands are lower. |
英文关键词 | Drylands climate change Transient and stabilized warming world 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming target The Paris Agreement |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000475558800066 |
WOS关键词 | 1.5 DEGREES-C ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE CONTINENTS ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; TERRESTRIAL ARIDITY ; HADLEY CIRCULATION ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; COLD-SEASON ; DROUGHT ; TEMPERATURE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源机构 | 兰州大学 ; 中国科学院大气物理研究所 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/214913 |
作者单位 | 1.Lanzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Key Lab Semiarid Climate Change, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; 2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Arid Meteorol, Key Open Lab Arid Climate Change & Disaster Reduc, Key Lab Arid Climate Change & Reducing Disaster G, Lanzhou 730020, Gansu, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China; 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wei, Yun,Yu, Haipeng,Huang, Jianping,et al. Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets[J]. 兰州大学, 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2019,53(3-4):2375-2389. |
APA | Wei, Yun,Yu, Haipeng,Huang, Jianping,Zhou, Tianjun,Zhang, Meng,&Ren, Yu.(2019).Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,53(3-4),2375-2389. |
MLA | Wei, Yun,et al."Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 53.3-4(2019):2375-2389. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。