Arid
DOI10.1007/s00382-019-04860-8
Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets
Wei, Yun1; Yu, Haipeng1,2; Huang, Jianping1; Zhou, Tianjun3,4; Zhang, Meng1; Ren, Yu1
通讯作者Yu, Haipeng
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号53期号:3-4页码:2375-2389
英文摘要Drylands are one of the most sensitive areas to climate change. Many previous studies assessed the impact of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming targets using transient warming scenarios by representative concentration pathways of CMIP5. Here we compared the climate changes over global drylands in transient and stabilized 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warmer worlds using Community Earth System Model simulations. The projections indicate a warming of 2.3 degrees C (1.6 degrees C) over drylands could occur in a stabilized 2 degrees C (1.5 degrees C) warmer world by the end of this century. The warming in drier regions is higher and the hyper-arid areas would experience warming of 2.4 degrees C (1.8 degrees C). Comparing the 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C warming targets, the additional 0.5 degrees C warming will lead to similar to 1.0 degrees C warming in drylands of Eurasia and North America. Responding to the 2 degrees C warming, the increased precipitation (21.8-42.6mm/year) is not enough to offset the increased PET (88.3-101.7mm/year) over drylands, resulting in the drylands expansion, and the additional 0.5 degrees C global warming will aggravate the drought in drylands in southern North America and North Africa. Compared to the stabilized 2 degrees C warming target, controlling the global warming to within 1.5 degrees C will reduce the warming in drylands by 0.7 degrees C, and reduce the drylands expansion relative to 1961-1990 by similar to 44%. Compared to the stabilized warming scenarios, the temperature response and drylands area coverage increase are higher in the transient warming scenarios, but the difference of temperature caused by additional 0.5 degrees C global warming and the precipitation increase in drylands are lower.
英文关键词Drylands climate change Transient and stabilized warming world 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming target The Paris Agreement
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000475558800066
WOS关键词1.5 DEGREES-C ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE CONTINENTS ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; TERRESTRIAL ARIDITY ; HADLEY CIRCULATION ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; COLD-SEASON ; DROUGHT ; TEMPERATURE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构兰州大学 ; 中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/214913
作者单位1.Lanzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Key Lab Semiarid Climate Change, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China;
2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Arid Meteorol, Key Open Lab Arid Climate Change & Disaster Reduc, Key Lab Arid Climate Change & Reducing Disaster G, Lanzhou 730020, Gansu, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wei, Yun,Yu, Haipeng,Huang, Jianping,et al. Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets[J]. 兰州大学, 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2019,53(3-4):2375-2389.
APA Wei, Yun,Yu, Haipeng,Huang, Jianping,Zhou, Tianjun,Zhang, Meng,&Ren, Yu.(2019).Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,53(3-4),2375-2389.
MLA Wei, Yun,et al."Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 53.3-4(2019):2375-2389.
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