干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes One Month in Advance

Arid

DOI	10.4269/ajtmh.17-0860
	A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes One Month in Advance
	Monaghan, Andrew J.1; Schmidt, Christopher A.2; Hayden, Mary H.3; Smith, Kirk A.4; Reiskind, Michael H.5; Cabell, Ryan 2; Ernst, Kacey C.6
通讯作者	Monaghan, Andrew J.
来源期刊	AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE
ISSN	0002-9637
EISSN	1476-1645
出版年	2019
卷号	100 期号:2 页码:434-437
英文摘要	The mosquito Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti (L.) is the primary vector of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses in the United States. Surveillance for adult Ae. aegypti is limited, hindering understanding of the mosquito's seasonal patterns and predictions of areas at elevated risk for autochthonous virus transmission. We developed a simple, intuitive empirical model that uses readily available temperature and humidity variables to predict environmental suitability for low, medium, or high potential abundance of adult Ae. aegypti in a given city 1 month in advance. Potential abundance was correctly predicted in 73% of months in arid Phoenix, AZ (over a 10-year period), and 63% of months in humid Miami, FL (over a 2-year period). The monthly model predictions can be updated daily, weekly, or monthly and thus may be applied to forecast suitable conditions for Ae. aegypti to inform vector-control activities and guide household-level actions to reduce mosquito habitat and human exposure.
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	USA
开放获取类型	Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000460410600038
WOS关键词	STEGOMYIA-AEGYPTI ; UNITED-STATES ; ALBOPICTUS ; DIPTERA ; TRANSMISSION ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACT ; VIRUS
WOS类目	Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Tropical Medicine
WOS研究方向	Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Tropical Medicine
来源机构	University of Arizona
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/214129
作者单位	1.Univ Colorado, 597 POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 3.Univ Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO 80907 USA; 4.Maricopa Cty Environm Serv Vector Control Dept, Phoenix, AZ USA; 5.North Carolina State Univ, Dept Entomol, Raleigh, NC USA; 6.Univ Arizona, Mel & Enid Zuckerman Coll Publ Hlth, Tucson, AZ USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Monaghan, Andrew J.,Schmidt, Christopher A.,Hayden, Mary H.,et al. A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes One Month in Advance[J]. University of Arizona,2019,100(2):434-437.
APA	Monaghan, Andrew J..,Schmidt, Christopher A..,Hayden, Mary H..,Smith, Kirk A..,Reiskind, Michael H..,...&Ernst, Kacey C..(2019).A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes One Month in Advance.AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE,100(2),434-437.
MLA	Monaghan, Andrew J.,et al."A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes One Month in Advance".AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE 100.2(2019):434-437.