Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-018-1903-y
A Comparative Assessment of Models to Predict Monthly Rainfall in Australia
Bagirov, Adil M.; Mahmood, Arshad
通讯作者Bagirov, Adil M.
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2018
卷号32期号:5页码:1777-1794
英文摘要

Accurate rainfall prediction is a challenging task. It is especially challenging in Australia where the climate is highly variable. Australia’s climatic zones range from high rainfall tropical regions in the north to the driest desert region in the interior. The performance of prediction models may vary depending on climatic conditions. It is, therefore, important to assess and compare the performance of these models in different climatic zones. This paper examines the performance of data driven models such as the support vector machines for regression, the multiple linear regression, the k-nearest neighbors and the artificial neural networks for monthly rainfall prediction in Australia depending on climatic conditions. Rainfall data with five meteorological variables over the period of 1970-2014 from 24 geographically diverse weather stations are used for this purpose. The prediction performance of each model was evaluated by comparing observed and predicted rainfall using various measures for prediction accuracy.


英文关键词Rainfall prediction Prediction models Regression analysis Prediction performance
类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000425155400015
WOS关键词ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS ; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES ; SEASONAL RAINFALL ; REGRESSION ; QUEENSLAND
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213695
作者单位Federat Univ Australia, Fac Sci & Technol, Ballarat, Vic, Australia
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GB/T 7714
Bagirov, Adil M.,Mahmood, Arshad. A Comparative Assessment of Models to Predict Monthly Rainfall in Australia[J],2018,32(5):1777-1794.
APA Bagirov, Adil M.,&Mahmood, Arshad.(2018).A Comparative Assessment of Models to Predict Monthly Rainfall in Australia.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(5),1777-1794.
MLA Bagirov, Adil M.,et al."A Comparative Assessment of Models to Predict Monthly Rainfall in Australia".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.5(2018):1777-1794.
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