Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3390/w10111602 |
Optimal Scale of Urbanization with Scarce Water Resources: A Case Study in an Arid and Semi-Arid Area of China | |
Liu, Siyuan; Wang, Ni; Xie, Jiancang; Jiang, Rengui; Zhao, Menglong | |
通讯作者 | Liu, Siyuan |
来源期刊 | WATER |
ISSN | 2073-4441 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 10期号:11 |
英文摘要 | A complex interwoven relationship exists between water resources and urbanization, which is of much interest in international water science research. To study the urban development in large cities facing water deficiency problems, it is important to identify rational thresholds of urbanization to achieve optimal utilization of limited water resources, and to promote sustainable economic and population growth and social development. A multi-objective optimization model is proposed to search for the optimal scale of urbanization of large cities with limited water resources. To solve a large-dimensional multi-objective optimization problem, the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II) is improved to the OENSGA-II based on the orthogonal generation method and the E-optimality method and applied to a typical arid city, Xi’an of China, which underwent rapid urbanization in recent years. For Xi’an, a statistically significant positive correlation is found between urbanization rate (U-r) and gross domestic product (GDP), domestic water, tertiary industry water, and ecological water. However, U-r is negatively correlated with the primary industry water. If the current urbanization trend continues, the water resources available are far from sufficient to support the future city of Xi’an. In this work, it was found that, by implementing restrictive water resources management and water saving measures, the economic threshold of Xi’an could be raised to 1890.3 and 2403.3 billion yuan, while the population threshold could be raised to 11.0 and 13.9 million, and U-r to 79.9% and 85.9% in 2020 and 2030, respectively. The corresponding maximum urban area to be constructed based on the projected population will be 964.81 and 1197.6 km(2) in those years. It will be prudent for Xi’an to practice strict water resource management, and to allocate its water resources among various water sectors effectively and equitably to avoid major water shortage problems in the future. |
英文关键词 | optimal threshold water resources constraints urbanization OENSGA-II |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451736300109 |
WOS关键词 | GENETIC ALGORITHM ; OPTIMIZATION ; PERSPECTIVES ; CHALLENGES ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213642 |
作者单位 | Xian Univ Technol, State Key Lab Ecohydraul Northwest Arid Reg China, Xian 710048, Shaanxi, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Siyuan,Wang, Ni,Xie, Jiancang,et al. Optimal Scale of Urbanization with Scarce Water Resources: A Case Study in an Arid and Semi-Arid Area of China[J],2018,10(11). |
APA | Liu, Siyuan,Wang, Ni,Xie, Jiancang,Jiang, Rengui,&Zhao, Menglong.(2018).Optimal Scale of Urbanization with Scarce Water Resources: A Case Study in an Arid and Semi-Arid Area of China.WATER,10(11). |
MLA | Liu, Siyuan,et al."Optimal Scale of Urbanization with Scarce Water Resources: A Case Study in an Arid and Semi-Arid Area of China".WATER 10.11(2018). |
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