Arid
DOI10.3390/su10093281
Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation
Yuan, Xiuliang1,2,3,4,5; Bai, Jie1
通讯作者Bai, Jie
来源期刊SUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
出版年2018
卷号10期号:9
英文摘要

Evapotranspiration is the highest outgoing flux in the hydrological cycle in Xinjiang, Northwest China. Quantifying the temporal and spatial patterns of future evapotranspiration is vital to appropriately manage water resources in water shortage drylands. In this study, the Common Land Model (CoLM) was used to estimate the regional evapotranspiration during the period 2021-2050, and its projected changes in response to climate change under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios (i.e., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) were analyzed using the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) technique. The results indicated that the mean regional evapotranspiration was comparable under the two scenarios during 2021-2050, with a value of 127 (+/- 11.9) mm/year under the RCP4.5 scenario, and 124 (+/- 11.1) mm/year under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Compared to the historical period of 1996-2005, the annual mean evapotranspiration during 2041-2050 will marginally decrease by 0.3 mm under the RCP4.5 scenario and by 0.4 mm under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analyses show that the evapotranspiration in relative high altitudes of Xinjiang present strong variations. The SVD analyses suggest that the changes in evapotranspiration are more closely linked to local precipitation variations than to temperature. The results would provide reliable suggestions to understand future changed in evapotranspiration and improve the regional strategy for water resource management in Xinjiang.


英文关键词evapotranspiration CoLM EOF SVD
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; Belgium
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000446770200324
WOS关键词GLOBAL LAND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; TARIM RIVER-BASIN ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NORTHWEST CHINA ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; WATER-RESOURCES ; ARID REGION ; RUNOFF ; XINJIANG ; MODEL
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213360
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium;
4.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China;
5.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yuan, Xiuliang,Bai, Jie. Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2018,10(9).
APA Yuan, Xiuliang,&Bai, Jie.(2018).Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation.SUSTAINABILITY,10(9).
MLA Yuan, Xiuliang,et al."Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation".SUSTAINABILITY 10.9(2018).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Yuan, Xiuliang]的文章
[Bai, Jie]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Yuan, Xiuliang]的文章
[Bai, Jie]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Yuan, Xiuliang]的文章
[Bai, Jie]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。