Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3390/su10093281 |
Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation | |
Yuan, Xiuliang1,2,3,4,5; Bai, Jie1 | |
通讯作者 | Bai, Jie |
来源期刊 | SUSTAINABILITY
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ISSN | 2071-1050 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 10期号:9 |
英文摘要 | Evapotranspiration is the highest outgoing flux in the hydrological cycle in Xinjiang, Northwest China. Quantifying the temporal and spatial patterns of future evapotranspiration is vital to appropriately manage water resources in water shortage drylands. In this study, the Common Land Model (CoLM) was used to estimate the regional evapotranspiration during the period 2021-2050, and its projected changes in response to climate change under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios (i.e., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) were analyzed using the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) technique. The results indicated that the mean regional evapotranspiration was comparable under the two scenarios during 2021-2050, with a value of 127 (+/- 11.9) mm/year under the RCP4.5 scenario, and 124 (+/- 11.1) mm/year under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Compared to the historical period of 1996-2005, the annual mean evapotranspiration during 2041-2050 will marginally decrease by 0.3 mm under the RCP4.5 scenario and by 0.4 mm under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analyses show that the evapotranspiration in relative high altitudes of Xinjiang present strong variations. The SVD analyses suggest that the changes in evapotranspiration are more closely linked to local precipitation variations than to temperature. The results would provide reliable suggestions to understand future changed in evapotranspiration and improve the regional strategy for water resource management in Xinjiang. |
英文关键词 | evapotranspiration CoLM EOF SVD |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China ; Belgium |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000446770200324 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL LAND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; TARIM RIVER-BASIN ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NORTHWEST CHINA ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; WATER-RESOURCES ; ARID REGION ; RUNOFF ; XINJIANG ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213360 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium; 4.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; 5.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuan, Xiuliang,Bai, Jie. Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2018,10(9). |
APA | Yuan, Xiuliang,&Bai, Jie.(2018).Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation.SUSTAINABILITY,10(9). |
MLA | Yuan, Xiuliang,et al."Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation".SUSTAINABILITY 10.9(2018). |
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