Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1038/s41598-018-30669-2 |
Detecting the Causal Effect of Soil Moisture on Precipitation Using Convergent Cross Mapping | |
Wang, Yunqian1,2,3,5; Yang, Jing1,4; Chen, Yaning1![]() | |
通讯作者 | Yang, Jing |
来源期刊 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
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ISSN | 2045-2322 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8 |
英文摘要 | As a vital land surface parameter, soil moisture influences climate through its impact on water and energy cycles. However, the effect of soil moisture on precipitation has been strongly debated. In this study, a new causal detection method, convergent cross mapping (CCM), was applied to explore the causality between soil moisture and precipitation over low- and mid-latitude regions in the Northern Hemisphere. CCM method generally identified a strong effect of soil moisture on precipitation. Specifically, the optimal effect of soil moisture on precipitation occurred with a lag of one month and clearly decreased after four months, suggesting that soil moisture has potentials to improve the accuracy of precipitation forecast at a sub-seasonal scale. In addition, as climate (i.e., aridity index) changed from dry to wet, the effect of soil moisture on precipitation first increased and then decreased with peaks in semi-arid and semi-humid areas. These findings statistically support the hypothesis that soil moisture impacts precipitation and also provide a reference for the design of climate prediction systems. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China ; Belgium ; New Zealand |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000441623200011 |
WOS关键词 | ATMOSPHERE COUPLING EXPERIMENT ; CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION ; SUMMER PRECIPITATION ; UNITED-STATES ; TIME-SERIES ; PART II ; CLIMATE ; LAND ; DYNAMICS ; PREDICTABILITY |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
来源机构 | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213093 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, Ghent, Belgium; 4.Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Christchurch, New Zealand; 5.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Urumqi, Peoples R China; 6.Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Ghent, Belgium |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Yunqian,Yang, Jing,Chen, Yaning,et al. Detecting the Causal Effect of Soil Moisture on Precipitation Using Convergent Cross Mapping[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2018,8. |
APA | Wang, Yunqian,Yang, Jing,Chen, Yaning,De Maeyer, Philippe,Li, Zhi,&Duan, Weili.(2018).Detecting the Causal Effect of Soil Moisture on Precipitation Using Convergent Cross Mapping.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8. |
MLA | Wang, Yunqian,et al."Detecting the Causal Effect of Soil Moisture on Precipitation Using Convergent Cross Mapping".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018). |
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