Arid
DOI10.1038/s41598-018-22795-8
Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East
Tabari, Hossein1; Willems, Patrick1,2
通讯作者Tabari, Hossein
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN2045-2322
出版年2018
卷号8
英文摘要

Climate change is expected to alter precipitation patterns; however, the amplitude of the change may broadly differ across seasons. Combining different seasons may mask contrasting climate change signals in individual seasons, leading to weakened signals and misleading impact results. A realistic assessment of future climate change is of great importance for arid regions, which are more vulnerable to any change in extreme events as their infrastructure is less experienced or not well adapted for extreme conditions. Our results show that climate change signals and associated uncertainties over the Middle East region remarkably vary with seasons. The region is identified as a climate change hotspot where rare extreme precipitation events are expected to intensify for all seasons, with a "highest increase in autumn, lowest increase in spring" pattern which switches to the "increase in autumn, decrease in spring" pattern for less extreme precipitation. This pattern is also held for mean precipitation, violating the "wet gets wetter, dry gets drier" paradigm.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Belgium
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000427242600013
WOS关键词EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; WATER AVAILABILITY ; CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; LATE 21ST-CENTURY ; FUTURE CHANGES ; MODELS ; SIMULATIONS ; SCENARIOS ; WEATHER
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213056
作者单位1.Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Civil Engn, Hydraul Div, Kasteelpk Arenberg 40, BE-3001 Leuven, Belgium;
2.Vrije Univ, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium
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GB/T 7714
Tabari, Hossein,Willems, Patrick. Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East[J],2018,8.
APA Tabari, Hossein,&Willems, Patrick.(2018).Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8.
MLA Tabari, Hossein,et al."Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018).
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