Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1038/s41598-018-22795-8 |
Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East | |
Tabari, Hossein1; Willems, Patrick1,2 | |
通讯作者 | Tabari, Hossein |
来源期刊 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
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ISSN | 2045-2322 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8 |
英文摘要 | Climate change is expected to alter precipitation patterns; however, the amplitude of the change may broadly differ across seasons. Combining different seasons may mask contrasting climate change signals in individual seasons, leading to weakened signals and misleading impact results. A realistic assessment of future climate change is of great importance for arid regions, which are more vulnerable to any change in extreme events as their infrastructure is less experienced or not well adapted for extreme conditions. Our results show that climate change signals and associated uncertainties over the Middle East region remarkably vary with seasons. The region is identified as a climate change hotspot where rare extreme precipitation events are expected to intensify for all seasons, with a "highest increase in autumn, lowest increase in spring" pattern which switches to the "increase in autumn, decrease in spring" pattern for less extreme precipitation. This pattern is also held for mean precipitation, violating the "wet gets wetter, dry gets drier" paradigm. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Belgium |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000427242600013 |
WOS关键词 | EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; WATER AVAILABILITY ; CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; LATE 21ST-CENTURY ; FUTURE CHANGES ; MODELS ; SIMULATIONS ; SCENARIOS ; WEATHER |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/213056 |
作者单位 | 1.Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Civil Engn, Hydraul Div, Kasteelpk Arenberg 40, BE-3001 Leuven, Belgium; 2.Vrije Univ, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tabari, Hossein,Willems, Patrick. Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East[J],2018,8. |
APA | Tabari, Hossein,&Willems, Patrick.(2018).Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8. |
MLA | Tabari, Hossein,et al."Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018). |
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