Arid
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.343
Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar; Sharma, Devesh
通讯作者Sharma, Devesh
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
出版年2018
卷号635页码:10-19
英文摘要

Crop growth models like AquaCrop are useful in understanding the impact of climate change on crop production considering the various projections from global circulation models and regional climate models. The present study aims to assess the climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin i.e., wheat, barley and maize. Banas basin is part of the semi-arid region of Rajasthan state in India. AquaCropmodel is used to calculate the yield of all the three crops for a historical period of 30 years (1981-2010) and then compared with observed yield data. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values are calculated to assess the model accuracy in prediction of yield. Further, the calibrated model is used to predict the possible impacts of climate change and CO2 concentration on crop yield using CORDEX-SA climate projections of three driving climate models (CNRM-CM5, CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR) for two different scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for the future period 2021-2050. RMSE values of simulated yield with respect to observed yield of wheat, barley and maize are 11.99, 16.15 and 19.13, respectively. It is predicted that crop yield of all three crops will increase under the climate change conditions for future period (2021-2050). (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词AquaCrop model Climatic models Crop yield simulation RCPs
类型Article
语种英语
国家India
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000436494400002
WOS关键词FAO AQUACROP MODEL ; WATER ; AGRICULTURE ; MAIZE ; PARAMETERIZATION ; PERFORMANCE ; SIMULATION ; FOOD
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/212971
作者单位Cent Univ Rajasthan, Sch Earth Sci, Dept Environm Sci, NH 8, Kishangarh 305817, Ajmer, India
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GB/T 7714
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,Sharma, Devesh. Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India[J],2018,635:10-19.
APA Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,&Sharma, Devesh.(2018).Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,635,10-19.
MLA Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,et al."Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 635(2018):10-19.
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