Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.343 |
Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India | |
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar; Sharma, Devesh | |
通讯作者 | Sharma, Devesh |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 635页码:10-19 |
英文摘要 | Crop growth models like AquaCrop are useful in understanding the impact of climate change on crop production considering the various projections from global circulation models and regional climate models. The present study aims to assess the climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin i.e., wheat, barley and maize. Banas basin is part of the semi-arid region of Rajasthan state in India. AquaCropmodel is used to calculate the yield of all the three crops for a historical period of 30 years (1981-2010) and then compared with observed yield data. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values are calculated to assess the model accuracy in prediction of yield. Further, the calibrated model is used to predict the possible impacts of climate change and CO2 concentration on crop yield using CORDEX-SA climate projections of three driving climate models (CNRM-CM5, CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR) for two different scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for the future period 2021-2050. RMSE values of simulated yield with respect to observed yield of wheat, barley and maize are 11.99, 16.15 and 19.13, respectively. It is predicted that crop yield of all three crops will increase under the climate change conditions for future period (2021-2050). (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | AquaCrop model Climatic models Crop yield simulation RCPs |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | India |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000436494400002 |
WOS关键词 | FAO AQUACROP MODEL ; WATER ; AGRICULTURE ; MAIZE ; PARAMETERIZATION ; PERFORMANCE ; SIMULATION ; FOOD |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/212971 |
作者单位 | Cent Univ Rajasthan, Sch Earth Sci, Dept Environm Sci, NH 8, Kishangarh 305817, Ajmer, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,Sharma, Devesh. Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India[J],2018,635:10-19. |
APA | Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,&Sharma, Devesh.(2018).Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,635,10-19. |
MLA | Dubey, Swatantra Kumar,et al."Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 635(2018):10-19. |
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